Friday, June 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joe Ross vs. Christian Friedrich
The Washington Nationals visit Petco Park on Friday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Joe Ross for the Nationals and Christian Friedrich for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -166 and San Diego at +156. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 32-28-6 over/under record and a 34-32-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Padres are 40-27-0 against the run line and have a 32-33-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Nationals head into this matchup with a 41-25 record, including 21-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Ross has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 59 strikeouts over his 71.2 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 141 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 192 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.20. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 492 base hits and 213 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 182 batters and struck out 639. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.41.
As a team, Washington is batting .250, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .249 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 50 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 55 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .359 and he has an on-base percentage of .402. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 28 times. The Nationals have 558 hits, including 104 doubles and 88 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Washington has walked 232 times this season and they've struck out 506 times as a unit. They've left 448 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 16-20 home record and a 27-40 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.12, Christian Friedrich has a 3-1 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 34 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.37. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 236 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 238 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.31 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 596 base knocks and 302 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 265 hitters and struck out 557. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Padres hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .321. He has 72 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 75 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 61 times. The Padres as a unit have 544 base hits, including 110 doubles and 70 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. San Diego as a team has walked 162 times this year and they have struck out 607 times. They've had 410 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 268 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 32-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 34-32-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 32-33-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 40-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
San Diego Padres
06/16/16 CF Travis Jankowski Ankle is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Washington Nationals
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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