Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito vs. Jake Peavy
The Washington Nationals visit AT&T Park on Saturday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Lucas Giolito for the Nationals and Jake Peavy for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +181 and San Francisco at -191. The over/under was set at 8. The Nationals have a 49-47-6 over/under record and a 53-49-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Giants are 48-54-0 against the run line and have a 50-50-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 60-42 record, including 29-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Lucas Giolito has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.91. He has 5 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he has given up 12 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.05. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.07 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 307 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.36 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.26. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 785 base hits and 337 earned runs. They have allowed 97 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 287 batters and struck out 966. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.45.
As a team, Washington is batting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game. Daniel Murphy comes into this game hitting .351 and his on-base percentage is at .391. He has 130 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 75 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 21 times. Bryce Harper is hitting .237 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 56. He has walked 76 times and has struck out 71 times. The Nationals have 866 hits, including 167 doubles and 138 home runs. They've stolen 71 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Washington has walked 361 times this season and they've struck out 782 times as a unit. They've left 697 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 475 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 30-20 home record and a 59-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.42, Jake Peavy has a 5-9 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 104.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 114 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 244 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 861 base knocks and 378 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 263 hitters and struck out 796. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Giants hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.89 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .285 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 96 hits this year along with 57 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 99 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 49. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 86 times. The Giants as a unit have 907 base hits, including 171 doubles and 87 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 364 times this year and they have struck out 689 times. They've had 738 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.55 runs per game and have totaled 464 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 49-47-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 53-49-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 50-50-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 48-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
San Francisco Giants
07/29/16 P Josh Osich Forearm 15-day DL (7/24)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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