Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins 9/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Dillon Peters

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins on Thursday, September 28, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Dillon Peters for the Marlins.

Atlanta opens at +100 while Miami opens at -110. The Braves have a 78-74-5 over/under record and a 81-76-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 80-77-0 against the run line and have a 80-66-11 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 78-74-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 81-76-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 80-66-11 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 80-77-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/25/17 P Mike Foltynewicz Finger out indefinitely
09/06/17 CF Danny Santana Quad 60-day DL (09/06)
06/19/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/26/17 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow out for season
08/16/17 P Jarl?n Garcia Bicep 10-day DL (08/12)
08/04/17 P Edinson Volquez Knee 10-day DL (07/06)
07/29/17 P Nick Wittgren Elbow 10-day DL (07/27)
07/25/17 SS J.T. Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (07/25)
07/18/17 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (07/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 71-86 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 11-12 record with an earned run average of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 148 strikeouts over his 182.1 innings pitched and he's given up 178 hits. He allows 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 482 hitters and walked 215 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,407 base hits and 728 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 560 batters and struck out 1,215. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 159 hits this season in 577 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .388 and an OPS+ of 97. Ender Inciarte is hitting .306 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 200 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 654 at bats. His OPS+ is 101 while his slugging percentage is at .413. The Braves have 1,427 base hits, including 284 doubles and 160 homers. Atlanta has walked 456 times so far this year and they have struck out 1,153 times as a team. They have left 1,090 runners on base and have a team OPS of .740. They tally 4.55 runs per contest and have totaled 715 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 74-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.31, Dillon Peters has a 0-2 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 25.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 30 hits. He allows 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 579 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 543 batters and walked 260 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,404 base knocks and 742 earned runs this season. They have given up 187 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 600 hitters and struck out 1,171 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.66.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 3rd in the league. The Marlins hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .375. He has 160 hits this year along with 126 RBI in 576 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .628 with an OPS+ of 164. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 184 hits in 596 at bats while driving in 118 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .545. The Marlins as a unit have 1,434 base hits, including 258 doubles and 189 homers. Miami has walked 472 times this year and they have struck out on 1,242 occasions. They have had 1,092 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 741 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins -110

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