Atlanta Braves at New York Mets 9/25/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, September 25, 2017

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Sims vs. Seth Lugo

Citi Field is the site of the matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets on Monday, September 25, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Lucas Sims for the Braves and Seth Lugo for the Mets.

Atlanta opens at +105 while New York opens at -115. The Braves have a 77-71-5 over/under record and a 79-74-0 run line mark. The Mets are 69-85-0 against the run line and have a 87-55-12 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 77-71-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 79-74-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 87-55-12 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 69-85-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/23/17 1B Freddie Freeman Illness "?" Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/20/17 LF Matt Kemp Hamstring out indefinitely
09/15/17 P Mike Foltynewicz Finger injured last game, is downgraded to expected to miss next scheduled start
09/06/17 CF Danny Santana Quad 60-day DL (09/06)
06/19/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
06/11/17 P Eric O'Flaherty Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/11)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key New York Mets Injuries

09/22/17 P Jacob deGrom Flu probable for next scheduled start Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
09/07/17 3B Wilmer Flores Nose out for season
08/26/17 CF Yoenis Cespedes Hamstring 10-day DL (08/26)
08/25/17 LF Michael Conforto Shoulder 10-day DL (08/25)
08/21/17 P Steven Matz Elbow 60-day DL (08/19)
07/28/17 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 10-day DL (07/28)
07/24/17 P Zack Wheeler Arm 60-day DL (07/23)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 70-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lucas Sims has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 37 strikeouts over his 49 innings pitched and he's given up 52 hits. He allows 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 473 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,378 base hits and 719 earned runs. They have allowed 184 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 552 batters and struck out 1,185. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.52.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ender Inciarte is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .349. He has 194 hits this season in 638 at bats with 56 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .411 and an OPS+ of 100. Nick Markakis is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 155 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 561 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .389. The Braves have 1,391 base hits, including 275 doubles and 158 homers. Atlanta has walked 444 times so far this year and they have struck out 1,125 times as a team. They have left 1,058 runners on base and have a team OPS of .741. They tally 4.58 runs per contest and have totaled 701 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 66-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.03, Seth Lugo has a 6-5 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 91.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 106 hits. He allows 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 545 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 564 batters and walked 253 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,469 base knocks and 763 earned runs this season. They have given up 211 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 567 hitters and struck out 1,308 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 19th in the league. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Jay Bruce comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .323. He has 135 hits this year along with 95 RBI in 531 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .508 with an OPS+ of 115. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 126 hits in 455 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .431. The Mets as a team have 1,319 base knocks, including 275 doubles and 217 home runs. New York has walked 494 times this season and they have struck out 1,227 times. They have had 1,034 runners left on base and have an OPS of .758. They have scored 4.6 runs per contest and totaled 708 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -115

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