Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 7/28/2017 Free MLB Pick and Parlay

Friday, July 28, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jeremy Hellickson

The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday, July 28, 2017 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -110 and Philadelphia at +100. The Braves have a 54-43-3 over/under record and a 53-47-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 52-47-0 against the run line and have a 45-47-7 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 54-43-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 53-47-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-47-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-47-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

07/14/17 P Jason Motte Back 10-day DL (07/14)
06/19/17 3B Adonis Garcia Finger 10-day DL (06/07)
06/19/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
06/11/17 P Eric O'Flaherty Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/11)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

06/23/17 P Casey Fien Shoulder 60-day DL (06/23)
04/23/17 P Clay Buchholz Forearm 60-day DL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 48-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 7-8 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.39. He has 86 strikeouts over his 115.2 innings pitched and he's given up 116 hits. He allows 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 299 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 297 hitters and walked 129 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 907 base hits and 471 earned runs. They have allowed 130 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 357 batters and struck out 748. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .261, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ender Inciarte is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 126 hits this season in 423 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .402 and an OPS+ of 95. Nick Markakis is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 102 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 373 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .378. The Braves have 905 hits, including 187 doubles and 106 home runs. Atlanta has walked 280 times so far this season and they have struck out 757 times as a unit. They have left 670 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 467 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 35-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.73, Jeremy Hellickson has a 6-5 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 112.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 111 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 307 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 899 base knocks and 453 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 319 hitters and struck out 768 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.65.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 23rd in the league. The Phillies hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .315. He has 100 hits this year along with 36 RBI in 369 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .436 with an OPS+ of 96. Freddy Galvis is hitting .251 this season and he has an OBP of .304. He has collected 92 hits in 367 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Phillies as a unit have 834 base hits, including 185 doubles and 102 homers. Philadelphia has walked 298 times this year and they have struck out on 861 occasions. They have had 655 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They have scored 4.02 runs per game and totaled 398 runs this season.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Phillies +100 and over 3 total runs

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