Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 8/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, August 28, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Sims vs. Aaron Nola

Citizens Bank Park is the site of the matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, August 28, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Lucas Sims for the Braves and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

Atlanta opens at +135 while Philadelphia opens at -145. The Braves have a 66-57-4 over/under record and a 67-60-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 66-62-0 against the run line and have a 59-60-9 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 66-57-4 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 67-60-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 59-60-9 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-62-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

08/27/17 LF Matt Kemp Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Colorado Rockies
08/19/17 P Luke Jackson Shoulder 10-day DL (08/19)
08/18/17 CF Danny Santana Quad 10-day DL (08/17)
08/08/17 2B Johan Camargo Knee 10-day DL (08/09)
08/05/17 P Ian Krol Oblique 10-day DL (08/05)
06/19/17 3B Adonis Garcia Finger 10-day DL (06/07)
06/19/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
06/11/17 P Eric O'Flaherty Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/11)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

08/22/17 P Zach Eflin Shoulder 10-day DL (08/22)
08/18/17 CF Odubel Herrera Hamstring 10-day DL (08/17)
08/15/17 LF Daniel Nava Back 10-day DL (08/12)
08/11/17 P Vince Velasquez Finger 60-day DL (08/11)
08/08/17 C Andrew Knapp Hand 10-day DL (08/04)
08/05/17 CF Aaron Altherr Hamstring 10-day DL (08/04)
06/23/17 P Casey Fien Shoulder 60-day DL (06/23)
04/23/17 P Clay Buchholz Forearm 60-day DL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 57-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lucas Sims has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 15 strikeouts over his 28.1 innings pitched and he's given up 30 hits. He allows 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 388 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 384 hitters and walked 172 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,153 base hits and 603 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 458 batters and struck out 963. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 133 hits this season in 474 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .399 and an OPS+ of 100. Ender Inciarte is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 162 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 537 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .402. The Braves have 1,154 hits, including 229 doubles and 135 home runs. Atlanta has walked 361 times so far this season and they have struck out 935 times as a unit. They have left 861 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 585 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 47-81 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.58, Aaron Nola has a 9-9 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 135 strikeouts over the 130.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 118 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 417 batters and walked 174 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,184 base knocks and 601 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 418 hitters and struck out 1,005 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .309. He has 126 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 489 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .403 with an OPS+ of 87. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 114 hits in 393 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .433. The Phillies as a unit have 1,089 base hits, including 235 doubles and 138 homers. Philadelphia has walked 382 times this year and they have struck out on 1,104 occasions. They have had 854 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.09 runs per game and totaled 524 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves +135

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