Thursday, May 11, 2017
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Jimmy Nelson
Miller Park is the site of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday, May 11, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers.
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Boston opens at -124 while Milwaukee opens at +114. The Red Sox have a 12-18-2 over/under record and a 16-16-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 20-13-0 against the run line and have a 20-12-1 over/under record.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 12-18-2 against the over/under
The Boston Red Sox are 16-16-0 against the run line
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-12-1 against the over/under
The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-13-0 against the run line
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
05/06/17 P Tyler Thornbur Shoulder 60-day DL (4/1)
05/04/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (5/3)
05/01/17 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (4/30)
04/25/17 3B Pablo Sandoval Knee 10-day DL (4/24)
04/21/17 LF Brock Holt Vertigo 10-day DL (4/21)
04/03/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/03/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 10-day DL (4/1)
03/30/17 P David Price Elbow 10-day DL (4/1)
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
04/03/17 P Junior Guerra Calf 10-day DL
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 17-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 37 strikeouts over his 29.1 innings pitched and he's given up 22 hits. He allows 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.68 and they have given up 76 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 90 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 263 base hits and 119 earned runs. They have allowed 39 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 94 batters and struck out 299. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.
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As a team Boston is hitting .276, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 35 hits this season in 115 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 136. Mitch Moreland is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 32 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 118 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .449. The Red Sox have 302 hits, including 61 doubles and 28 home runs. Boston has walked 109 times so far this season and they have struck out 197 times as a unit. They have left 229 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 145 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 17-16 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.83, Jimmy Nelson has a 1-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 34 hits. He allows 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 119 batters and walked 65 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 308 base knocks and 139 earned runs this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 123 hitters and struck out 266 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Eric Thames comes into this matchup batting .327 with an OBP of .437. He has 37 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 113 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .743 with an OPS+ of 202. Travis Shaw is hitting .265 this season and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 31 hits in 117 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .538. The Brewers as a unit have 275 base hits, including 63 doubles and 55 homers. Milwaukee has walked 106 times this year and they have struck out on 307 occasions. They have had 196 men left on base and have an OPS of .779. They have scored 5.03 runs per game and totaled 166 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers +114
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