Saturday, May 6, 2017
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Nick Tepesch
Target Field is the site of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, May 6, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Nick Tepesch for the Twins.
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Boston opens at -148 while Minnesota opens at +138. The Red Sox have a 9-17-2 over/under record and a 14-14-0 run line mark. The Twins are 15-11-0 against the run line and have a 11-12-3 over/under record.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 9-17-2 against the over/under
The Boston Red Sox are 14-14-0 against the run line
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 11-12-3 against the over/under
The Minnesota Twins are 15-11-0 against the run line
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
05/04/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (5/3)
05/01/17 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (4/30)
04/25/17 3B Pablo Sandoval Knee 10-day DL (4/24)
04/21/17 LF Brock Holt Vertigo 10-day DL (4/21)
04/03/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/03/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 10-day DL (4/1)
04/01/17 P Tyler Thornbur Undisclosed 10-day DL (4/1)
03/30/17 P David Price Elbow 10-day DL (4/1)
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
04/23/17 P Justin Haley Bicep 10-day DL (4/23)
04/03/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Elbow 60-day DL (3/30)
04/01/17 SS Ehire Adrianza Oblique 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Arm 60-day DL
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 15-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 39 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He allows 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.21 and they have given up 64 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 83 hitters and walked 34 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 226 base hits and 97 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 84 batters and struck out 268. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.74.
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As a team Boston is hitting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 27 hits this season in 96 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .417 and an OPS+ of 109. Mitch Moreland is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 27 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 102 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .451. The Red Sox have 250 hits, including 44 doubles and 18 home runs. Boston has walked 86 times so far this season and they have struck out 169 times as a unit. They have left 193 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 107 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 14-12 overall mark this year. Nick Tepesch is making his season debut for the Twins. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 78 batters and walked 36 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 212 base knocks and 102 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 85 hitters and struck out 179 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 18th in the league. The Twins hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .241 with an OBP of .306. He has 21 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 87 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .333 with an OPS+ of 81. Max Kepler is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 22 hits in 84 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .429. The Twins as a unit have 212 base hits, including 42 doubles and 30 homers. Minnesota has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out on 204 occasions. They have had 190 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 122 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins +138
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