Braves at Mets 4/6/2017 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Tony Sink - 4/5/2017
Thursday, April 6, 2017
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jaime Garcia vs. Matt Harvey
The Atlanta Braves travel to Citi Field on Thursday, April 6, 2017 to matchup against the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jaime Garcia for the Braves and Matt Harvey for the Mets.
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The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +165 and New York at -175. The Braves had a 82-69-10 over/under record and a 85-76-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 53% of the time. The Mets were 76-86-0 against the run line and had a 74-85-3 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves were 82-69-10 against the over/under last season
The Atlanta Braves were 85-76-0 against the run line last season
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets were 74-85-3 against the over/under last season
The New York Mets were 76-86-0 against the run line last season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
04/03/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 10-day DL (3/30)
04/03/17 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 10-day DL (3/30)
04/02/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 10-day DL (3/30)
04/01/17 1B Sean Rodriguez Shoulder 60-day DL
03/31/17 P Mauricio Cabrera Elbow 10-day DL (3/30)
Key New York Mets Injuries
04/03/17 P Jeurys Familia Suspension 15-game suspension (eligible to return 04/20 vs Philadelphia)
04/01/17 P Seth Lugo Arm 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 LF Brandon Nimmo Hamstring 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Shoulder 10-day DL (3/30)
03/30/17 CF Juan Lagares Oblique 10-day DL (3/30)
03/30/17 P Steven Matz Elbow 10-day DL (3/30)
Useful Pitching Statistics
Starting pitcher Jaime Garcia had a 10-13 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.38. He had 150 strikeouts over his 171.2 innings pitched and he gave up 179 hits last season. He allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.95 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 543 times and walking 256 times last season. As a team, Atlanta allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine innings. They were 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Braves pitchers collectively gave up 1,414 base hits and 725 earned runs. They allowed 177 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff walked 547 batters and struck out 1,227. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 4.32.
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As a team Atlanta batted .255, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Braves held a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which was good for 16th in baseball. They ranked 15th in baseball with 8.72 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .302 with an on-base percentage of .400. He had 178 hits last season along with 102 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He struck out 171 times and walked 89 times. Nick Markakis hit .269 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .346. He totaled 161 hits while scoring 67 runs and he drove in 89. He walked 71 times and struck out on 101 occasions. The Braves had 1,404 hits, including 295 doubles and 122 home runs. They stole 75 bases and were thrown out stealing 34 times. Atlanta walked 502 times last season and they struck out 1,240 times as a unit. They left 1,161 men on base and had a team OPS of .705. They scored 4.03 runs per contest and scored a total of 649 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
With an earned run average of 4.86, Matt Harvey had a 4-10 record and a 1.47 WHIP last season. He had 76 strikeouts over the 92.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 111 hits. He allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.47. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.53 and they gave up 472 base hits on the year. Teams hit .234 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 569 times and walking 189 times last season. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine innings. They were 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers as a team surrendered 1,398 base knocks and 575 earned runs last season. They gave up 152 home runs last year and they gave up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff walked 439 hitters and struck out 1,396. They gave up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.27 while their FIP as a staff was 3.57.
As a team, they batted .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Mets held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 26th in baseball with 8.28 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup after batting .280 with an OBP of .336. He had 146 hits last year along with 65 runs scored and 62 RBI. He struck out 103 times and walked on 38 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes hit .280 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .354. He collected 134 hits while scoring 72 runs and driving in 86. He earned a walk 51 times and punched out 108 times. The Mets as a unit had 1,342 base hits, including 240 doubles and 218 homers. They had 42 stolen bases and were thrown out 18 times. New York as a team walked 517 times last year and they struck out 1,302 times. They had 1,120 men left on base and had an OPS of .733. They scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 671 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets -175
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