Sunday, July 2, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Tim Adleman

The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday, July 2, 2017 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Tim Adleman for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -131 and Cincinnati at +121. The Cubs have a 38-40-2 over/under record and a 30-50-0 run line mark. The Reds are 43-36-0 against the run line and have a 47-29-3 over/under record.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 38-40-2 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 30-50-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 47-29-3 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 43-36-0 against the run line

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

06/29/17 3B Kris Bryant Ankle expected to miss series vs. Reds
06/22/17 RF Jason Heyward Hand 10-day DL (06/19)
06/16/17 2B Ben Zobrist Wrist 10-day DL (06/13)
06/09/17 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (05/07)
06/08/17 P Kyle Hendricks Hand 10-day DL (06/05)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 40-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 93 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 307 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 647 base hits and 321 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 270 batters and struck out 706. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .236, good for 29th in the league. The Cubs hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 75 hits this season in 291 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .502 and an OPS+ of 132. Javier Baez is hitting .253 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .295. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 221 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .452. The Cubs have 635 hits, including 134 doubles and 105 home runs. Chicago has walked 308 times so far this season and they have struck out 683 times as a unit. They have left 555 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 365 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 34-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.62, Tim Adleman has a 5-4 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 74 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 67 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 284 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 297 batters and walked 133 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.26. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 710 base knocks and 411 earned runs this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 308 hitters and struck out 613 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 11th in the league. The Reds hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Adam Duvall comes into this matchup batting .288 with an OBP of .332. He has 84 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 292 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .572 with an OPS+ of 130. Joey Votto is hitting .311 this season and he has an OBP of .424. He has collected 88 hits in 283 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 169 and a slugging percentage of .622. The Reds as a unit have 714 base hits, including 141 doubles and 114 homers. Cincinnati has walked 244 times this year and they have struck out on 640 occasions. They have had 552 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 4.87 runs per game and totaled 385 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs -131

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