Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs 9/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jackson Stephens vs. Jon Lester

The Cincinnati Reds head to Wrigley Field on Saturday, September 30, 2017 to take on the Chicago Cubs. The expected starting pitchers are Jackson Stephens for the Reds and Jon Lester for the Cubs.

The odds for this matchup have Cincinnati at +192 and Chicago at -215. The Reds have a 81-73-5 over/under mark and a 82-77-0 run line record. The Cubs are 72-87-0 against the run line and have a 74-78-7 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 81-73-5 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 82-77-0 against the run line

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 74-78-7 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 72-87-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/28/2017 Lucas Luetge RP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/27/2017 Zack Cozart SS Quadriceps Probable for Sep 29
9/27/2017 Devin Mesoraco C Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/26/2017 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/24/2017 Rookie Davis SP Hip Out for the season
9/17/2017 Tyler Mahle SP Coach's Decision Out for the season
9/17/2017 Drew Storen RP Elbow Out for the season
9/13/2017 Luis Castillo SP Coach's Decision Out for the season
9/3/2017 Nick Senzel 3B Illness Out for the season
9/2/2017 Tyler Stephenson C Thumb Out for the season
9/1/2017 Rob Wooten RP Undisclosed Out for the season
8/31/2017 Anthony DeSclafani SP Elbow Out for the season
8/30/2017 Nick Howard SP Undisclosed Out for the season
8/27/2017 Scott Feldman SP Knee Out for the season
8/22/2017 Brandon Finnegan SP Shoulder Out for the season
7/29/2017 Nick Longhi LF Elbow Out for the season
7/26/2017 Dilson Herrera 2B Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2017 Bronson Arroyo SP Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2017 Nick Travieso RP Shoulder Out for the season
11/9/2016 Jon Moscot SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/28/2017 Albert Almora CF Shoulder Probable for Sep 29
9/28/2017 Koji Uehara RP Knee Probable for Sep 29
9/27/2017 Justin Wilson RP Neck Probable for Sep 28
9/26/2017 Alec Mills SP Ankle Out for the season
9/19/2017 Eddie Butler SP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/19/2017 Oscar De La Cruz SP Pectoral Out for the season
9/19/2017 Wladimir Galindo 3B Shoulder Out for the season
9/19/2017 Mark Zagunis RF Undisclosed Out for the season
9/5/2017 Dylan Cease SP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 67-92 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jackson Stephens has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 16 strikeouts over his 21 innings pitched and he's given up 15 hits. He allows 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 561 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 579 hitters and walked 274 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,420 base hits and 807 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 621 batters and struck out 1,281. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .455. He has 175 hits this season in 548 at bats with 99 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .577 and an OPS+ of 168. Adam Duvall is hitting .244 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .296. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 98 men in 579 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Reds have 1,364 hits, including 241 doubles and 219 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 560 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,297 times as a unit. They have left 1,115 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 746 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 90-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.46, Jon Lester has a 12-8 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 173 strikeouts over the 175.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 175 hits. He allows 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 445 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 602 batters and walked 259 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,268 base knocks and 629 earned runs this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 549 hitters and struck out 1,407 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .410. He has 161 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 545 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 144. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 156 hits in 569 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .510. The Cubs as a unit have 1,380 base hits, including 273 doubles and 219 homers. Chicago has walked 612 times this year and they have struck out on 1,382 occasions. They have had 1,130 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They have scored 5.08 runs per game and totaled 807 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs -215

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