Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins 7/27/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, July 27, 2017

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Robert Stephenson vs. Chris O'Grady

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins on Thursday, July 27, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Robert Stephenson for the Reds and Chris O'Grady for the Marlins.

Cincinnati opens at +130 while Miami opens at -140. The Reds have a 51-45-4 over/under record and a 50-50-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 50-48-0 against the run line and have a 51-41-6 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 51-45-4 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-50-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 51-41-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 50-48-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

07/26/17 SS Zack Cozart Quad left last game, "?" Wednesday vs. New York Yankees
07/18/17 P Scott Feldman Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

07/25/17 1B Justin Bour Oblique 10-day DL (07/25)
07/25/17 SS J.T. Riddle Shoulder 10-day DL (07/25)
07/18/17 3B Martin Prado Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
07/07/17 P Edinson Volquez Knee 10-day DL (07/06)
06/23/17 P Brad Ziegler Back 10-day DL (06/21)
05/06/17 P Wei-Yin Chen Arm 10-day DL (05/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 41-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robert Stephenson has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.97. He has 32 strikeouts over his 30 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He allows 12.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 382 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 903 base hits and 519 earned runs. They have allowed 172 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 375 batters and struck out 804. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.26.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .255, good for 16th in the league. The Reds hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .415. He has 104 hits this season in 353 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .575 and an OPS+ of 154. Adam Duvall is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 99 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 368 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Reds have 874 hits, including 166 doubles and 137 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 319 times so far this season and they have struck out 810 times as a unit. They have left 698 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 459 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 45-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.40, Chris O'Grady has a 1-1 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 15 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 14 hits. He allows 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 354 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 349 batters and walked 166 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 845 base knocks and 451 earned runs this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 382 hitters and struck out 759 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.52.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 4th in the league. The Marlins hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .358. He has 100 hits this year along with 68 RBI in 366 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .593 with an OPS+ of 148. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .311 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 118 hits in 379 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .546. The Marlins as a unit have 900 base hits, including 162 doubles and 116 homers. Miami has walked 265 times this year and they have struck out on 766 occasions. They have had 668 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.56 runs per game and totaled 447 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins -140

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