Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers 8/11/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, August 11, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Homer Bailey vs. Jimmy Nelson

The Cincinnati Reds visit Miller Park on Friday, August 11, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Homer Bailey for the Reds and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +161 and Milwaukee at -171. The Reds have a 60-50-4 over/under record and a 56-58-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 63-53-0 against the run line and have a 53-57-6 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 60-50-4 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 56-58-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 53-57-6 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 63-53-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

08/10/17 CF Billy Hamilton Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. San Diego Padres
08/10/17 P Lisalverto Bonilla Undisclosed 10-day DL (08/10)
08/10/17 SS Jose Peraza Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. San Diego Padres
08/06/17 P Robert Stephenson Shoulder 10-day DL (08/03)
08/02/17 LF Scott Schebler Shoulder 10-day DL (07/31)
07/18/17 P Scott Feldman Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

08/09/17 3B Travis Shaw Personal "?" Thursday vs. Minnesota Twins
08/04/17 C Jett Bandy Ribs 10-day DL (08/04)
07/18/17 C Stephen Vogt Knee 10-day DL (07/18)
06/28/17 P Chase Anderson Ribs 10-day DL (06/28)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 47-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Homer Bailey has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 8.86 and a WHIP of 2.04. He has 26 strikeouts over his 42.2 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He allows 14.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 395 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 436 hitters and walked 179 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1026 base hits and 586 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 427 batters and struck out 907. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .254, good for 17th in the league. The Reds hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Adam Duvall is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .319. He has 113 hits this season in 423 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .532 and an OPS+ of 116. Joey Votto is hitting .315 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .438. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 397 at bats. His OPS+ is 167 while his slugging percentage is at .602. The Reds have 987 hits, including 178 doubles and 157 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 375 times so far this season and they have struck out 920 times as a unit. They have left 799 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 522 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 59-57 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.24, Jimmy Nelson has a 9-5 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 158 strikeouts over the 141.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 134 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 385 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 409 batters and walked 200 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1010 base knocks and 474 earned runs this season. They have given up 143 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 405 hitters and struck out 949 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .368. He has 106 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 383 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .473 with an OPS+ of 118. Orlando Arcia is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 110 hits in 384 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .424. The Brewers as a unit have 982 base hits, including 199 doubles and 163 homers. Milwaukee has walked 374 times this year and they have struck out on 1139 occasions. They have had 774 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They have scored 4.57 runs per game and totaled 530 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds +161

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