Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers 9/27/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Homer Bailey vs. Brandon Woodruff

The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Wednesday, September 27, 2017 to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The expected starting pitchers are Homer Bailey for the Reds and Brandon Woodruff for the Brewers.

The odds for this matchup have Cincinnati at +145 and Milwaukee at -172. The Reds have a 80-71-5 over/under mark and a 79-77-0 run line record. The Brewers are 83-73-0 against the run line and have a 66-83-7 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 80-71-5 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 79-77-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 66-83-7 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-73-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

09/13/17 P Drew Storen Elbow 60-day DL (09/13)
08/18/17 P Scott Feldman Knee 60-day DL (08/18)
08/15/17 C Devin Mesoraco Foot 10-day DL (08/13)
08/13/17 P Austin Brice Side 10-day DL (08/13)
08/10/17 P Lisalverto Bonilla Elbow 10-day DL (08/07)
06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

09/15/17 P Jimmy Nelson Arm out for season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 66-90 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Homer Bailey has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 6.96 and a WHIP of 1.75. He has 63 strikeouts over his 84 innings pitched and he's given up 108 hits. He allows 11.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 557 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 571 hitters and walked 267 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,399 base hits and 799 earned runs. They have allowed 243 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 607 batters and struck out 1,257. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .317 with an on-base percentage of .452. He has 171 hits this season in 539 at bats with 96 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .571 and an OPS+ of 167. Adam Duvall is hitting .244 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .296. He has totaled 139 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 570 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .477. The Reds have 1,335 hits, including 237 doubles and 213 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 550 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,274 times as a unit. They have left 1,091 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 731 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 82-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.76, Brandon Woodruff has a 2-2 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 40.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 37 hits. He allows 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 585 batters and walked 260 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,335 base knocks and 616 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 535 hitters and struck out 1,297 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Orlando Arcia comes into this matchup batting .270 with an OBP of .320. He has 132 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 488 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .406 with an OPS+ of 89. Domingo Santana is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 140 hits in 506 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .498. The Brewers as a team have 1,313 base knocks, including 257 doubles and 219 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 521 times this season and they have struck out 1,522 times. They have had 1,045 runners left on base and have an OPS of .752. They have scored 4.51 runs per contest and totaled 704 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -172

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