Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers 9/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sal Romano vs. Brent Suter

The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Thursday, September 28, 2017 to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The expected starting pitchers are Sal Romano for the Reds and Brent Suter for the Brewers.

The odds for this matchup have Cincinnati at +160 and Milwaukee at -170. The Reds have a 81-71-5 over/under mark and a 80-77-0 run line record. The Brewers are 83-74-0 against the run line and have a 67-83-7 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 81-71-5 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 80-77-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 67-83-7 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-74-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

09/13/17 P Drew Storen Elbow 60-day DL (09/13)
08/18/17 P Scott Feldman Knee 60-day DL (08/18)
08/15/17 C Devin Mesoraco Foot 10-day DL (08/13)
08/13/17 P Austin Brice Side 10-day DL (08/13)
08/10/17 P Lisalverto Bonilla Elbow 10-day DL (08/07)
06/29/17 P Brandon Finnegan Tricep 10-day DL (06/28)
06/26/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 60-day DL (06/19)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

09/15/17 P Jimmy Nelson Arm out for season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 66-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sal Romano has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 66 strikeouts over his 81.1 innings pitched and he's given up 84 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 561 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 575 hitters and walked 270 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,409 base hits and 804 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 612 batters and struck out 1,266. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 18th in the league. The Reds hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .318 with an on-base percentage of .453. He has 172 hits this season in 541 at bats with 97 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .571 and an OPS+ of 167. Adam Duvall is hitting .246 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .297. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 574 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .477. The Reds have 1,346 hits, including 238 doubles and 216 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 553 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,283 times as a unit. They have left 1,099 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 737 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 83-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.29, Brent Suter has a 3-2 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 76 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 497 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 594 batters and walked 261 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,346 base knocks and 622 earned runs this season. They have given up 179 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 538 hitters and struck out 1,306 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Orlando Arcia comes into this matchup batting .274 with an OBP of .323. He has 135 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 492 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 90. Domingo Santana is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 141 hits in 510 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .502. The Brewers as a team have 1,323 base knocks, including 261 doubles and 220 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 526 times this season and they have struck out 1,531 times. They have had 1,054 runners left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.53 runs per contest and totaled 711 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds +160

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