Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals 9/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Danny Duffy

The Detroit Tigers visit Kauffman Stadium on Thursday, September 28, 2017 to play the Kansas City Royals. The probable starters are Daniel Norris for the Tigers and Danny Duffy for the Royals.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +172 and Kansas City at -182. The Tigers have a 85-65-7 over/under record and a 71-86-0 run line mark. The Royals are 74-83-0 against the run line and have a 74-77-6 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 85-65-7 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 71-86-0 against the run line

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 74-77-6 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 74-83-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

09/25/17 1B Miguel Cabrera Back out indefinitely
09/04/17 DH Victor Martinez Heart 60-day DL (09/03)
09/02/17 P Michael Fulmer Elbow out indefinitely

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

08/30/17 P Brian Flynn Groin 10-day DL (08/30)
08/19/17 P Neftali Feliz Elbow 10-day DL (08/19)
06/26/17 P Nathan Karns Forearm 60-day DL (05/21)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 62-95 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 4-8 record with an earned run average of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.68. He has 85 strikeouts over his 96.2 innings pitched and he's given up 118 hits. He allows 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.71 and they have given up 575 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .280 against the bullpen and they've struck out 453 hitters and walked 232 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.38. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,547 base hits and 824 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 521 batters and struck out 1,172. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .259, good for 11th in the league. The Tigers hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 161 hits this season in 595 at bats with 96 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .487 and an OPS+ of 109. Ian Kinsler is hitting .238 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .314. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 542 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .417. The Tigers have 1,397 base hits, including 285 doubles and 185 homers. Detroit has walked 491 times so far this year and they have struck out 1,271 times as a team. They have left 1,072 runners on base and have a team OPS of .753. They tally 4.59 runs per contest and have totaled 720 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 77-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.68, Danny Duffy has a 9-9 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 126 strikeouts over the 142 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 137 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 533 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 488 batters and walked 235 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,432 base knocks and 713 earned runs this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 496 hitters and struck out 1,175 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 10th in the league. The Royals hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .302 with an OBP of .364. He has 173 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 573 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .445 with an OPS+ of 113. Eric Hosmer is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 189 hits in 590 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 132 and a slugging percentage of .498. The Royals as a team have 1,401 base knocks, including 253 doubles and 188 home runs. Kansas City has walked 377 times this season and they have struck out 1,133 times. They have had 980 runners left on base and have an OPS of .733. They have scored 4.37 runs per contest and totaled 686 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals -182

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