Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins 9/30/2017 Free MLB Pick and Parlay

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Buck Farmer vs. Jose Berrios

The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Saturday, September 30, 2017 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Buck Farmer for the Tigers and Jose Berrios for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +125 and Minnesota at -135. The Tigers have a 86-66-7 over/under record and a 72-87-0 run line mark. The Twins are 85-74-0 against the run line and have a 72-77-10 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 86-66-7 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 72-87-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 72-77-10 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 85-74-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/28/2017 Miguel Cabrera 1B Back Probable for Sep 29
9/28/2017 Jeimer Candelario 3B Wrist Probable for Sep 29
9/28/2017 Tyler Collins CF Ribs Probable for Sep 29
9/28/2017 David Lough LF Hamstring Out for the season
9/26/2017 Jeff Ferrell RP Concussion Probable for Sep 29
9/23/2017 Mikie Mahtook CF Groin Out for the season
9/23/2017 Alex Wilson RP Leg Out for the season
9/16/2017 Kyle Funkhouser SP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/16/2017 Anthony Gose CF Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2017 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
9/3/2017 Victor Martinez DH Chest Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/28/2017 Miguel Sano 3B Lower Leg Out for the season
9/26/2017 Bartolo Colon SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
9/8/2017 Hector Santiago SP Back Out for the season
9/5/2017 J.T. Chargois RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2017 Johan Quezada Shoulder Out for the season
8/28/2017 Fernando Romero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
8/14/2017 Trevor May RP Elbow Out for the season
7/18/2017 Phil Hughes SP Shoulder Out for the season
7/1/2017 Zach Jones RP Shoulder Out for the season
5/26/2017 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
5/22/2017 Luis Arraez Leg Out for the season
4/25/2017 Ryan O'Rourke RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2017 Alex Kirilloff CF Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 63-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Buck Farmer has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 7.33 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 46 strikeouts over his 43 innings pitched and he's given up 51 hits. He allows 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.74 and they have given up 583 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .281 against the bullpen and they've struck out 454 hitters and walked 236 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.37. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,562 base hits and 833 earned runs. They have allowed 214 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 526 batters and struck out 1,177. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .259, good for 11th in the league. The Tigers hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 165 hits this season in 603 at bats with 99 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .491 and an OPS+ of 111. Ian Kinsler is hitting .236 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .313. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 546 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .414. The Tigers have 1,415 hits, including 288 doubles and 185 home runs. Detroit has walked 499 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,286 times as a unit. They have left 1,088 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 728 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 83-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.93, Jose Berrios has a 13-8 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 138 strikeouts over the 144.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 129 hits. He allows 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 468 batters and walked 185 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,467 base knocks and 726 earned runs this season. They have given up 222 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 479 hitters and struck out 1,139 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.75.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 9th in the league. The Twins hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .352. He has 162 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 612 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .485 with an OPS+ of 121. Eddie Rosario is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 154 hits in 531 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .512. The Twins as a unit have 1,419 base hits, including 280 doubles and 202 homers. Minnesota has walked 581 times this year and they have struck out on 1,317 occasions. They have had 1,125 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 5.04 runs per game and totaled 802 runs this season.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Twins -135 and over 9.5 total runs

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