Wednesday, July 5, 2017

Turner Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers vs. Jaime Garcia

The Houston Astros head to Turner Field on Wednesday, July 5, 2017 to take on the Atlanta Braves. The expected starting pitchers are Lance McCullers for the Astros and Jaime Garcia for the Braves.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at -147 and Atlanta at +137. The Astros have a 42-35-6 over/under mark and a 49-34-0 run line record. The Braves are 43-38-0 against the run line and have a 41-37-3 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 42-35-6 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 49-34-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 41-37-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 43-38-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80 game suspension (PED)
06/09/17 P Dallas Keuchel Neck 10-day DL (06/05)
06/09/17 P Collin McHugh Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Charlie Morton Back 10-day DL (05/25)
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

06/19/17 3B Adonis Garcia Finger 10-day DL (06/07)
06/19/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
06/19/17 1B Sean Rodriguez Shoulder 60-day DL (02/25)
06/11/17 P Eric O'Flaherty Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/11)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist 10-day DL (05/18)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 56-27 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance McCullers has a 7-1 record with an earned run average of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 103 strikeouts over his 87 innings pitched and he's given up 68 hits. He allows 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 237 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen and they've struck out 369 hitters and walked 104 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 652 base hits and 325 earned runs. They have allowed 97 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 261 batters and struck out 852. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .283, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 101 hits this season in 310 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 152. Carlos Correa is hitting .319 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .394. He has totaled 95 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 298 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .554. The Astros have 814 hits, including 172 doubles and 133 home runs. Houston has walked 266 times so far this season and they have struck out 561 times as a unit. They have left 567 men on base and have a team OPS of .836. They score 5.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 464 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 40-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.35, Jaime Garcia has a 2-6 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 93 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 87 hits. He allows 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 251 batters and walked 105 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 714 base knocks and 365 earned runs this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 280 hitters and struck out 594 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .366. He has 88 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 308 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .383 with an OPS+ of 98. Ender Inciarte is hitting .307 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 106 hits in 345 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Braves as a unit have 738 base hits, including 145 doubles and 81 homers. Atlanta has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out on 605 occasions. They have had 551 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.57 runs per game and totaled 370 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -147

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