Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 10/1/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, October 1, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Chris Sale

The Houston Astros head to Fenway Park on Sunday, October 1, 2017 to take on the Boston Red Sox. The expected starting pitchers are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Chris Sale for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at +160 and Boston at -170. The Astros have a 80-71-9 over/under mark and a 85-75-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 84-76-0 against the run line and have a 70-84-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 80-71-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 85-75-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 70-84-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 84-76-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

09/30/17 RF Josh Reddick Back expected to miss Saturday & Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox
09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb 10-day DL (09/14)
07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return for the 2018 season)
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/30/17 SS Eduardo Nunez Knee is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday & Sunday vs. Houston Astros
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 100-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 54 strikeouts over his 57.1 innings pitched and he's given up 57 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 479 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 652 hitters and walked 211 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,297 base hits and 653 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 517 batters and struck out 1,569. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .480 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .348 with an on-base percentage of .412. He has 203 hits this season in 584 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 166. Josh Reddick is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 477 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Astros have 1,565 hits, including 343 doubles and 237 home runs. Houston has walked 501 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,068 times as a unit. They have left 1,080 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 889 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 92-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.90, Chris Sale has a 17-8 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 308 strikeouts over the 214.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 165 hits. He allows 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 567 batters and walked 175 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,368 base knocks and 603 earned runs this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 457 hitters and struck out 1,561 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .342. He has 164 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 625 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .453 with an OPS+ of 106. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 155 hits in 567 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,444 base hits, including 297 doubles and 167 homers. Boston has walked 566 times this year and they have struck out on 1,200 occasions. They have had 1,122 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They have scored 4.85 runs per game and totaled 776 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros +160

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