Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 10/9/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, October 9, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Rick Porcello

The Houston Astros head to Fenway Park on Monday, October 9, 2017 to take on the Boston Red Sox in Game 4 of the ALDS. Houston leads the series 2-1. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton for the Astros and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at +105 and Boston at -115. The Astros have a 83-72-9 over/under mark and a 87-77-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 86-78-0 against the run line and have a 73-85-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 83-72-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 87-77-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 73-85-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 86-78-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

10/01/17 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 60-day DL (08/31)
10/01/17 P David Paulino Elbow 60-day DL (10/01)
09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb out indefinitely
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

10/07/17 RF Mookie Betts Wrist left last game, probable Sunday vs. Houston Astros
10/06/17 SS Eduardo Nunez Knee out indefinitely
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 101-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 14-7 record with an earned run average of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 163 strikeouts over his 146.2 innings pitched and he's given up 125 hits. He allows 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 485 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 662 hitters and walked 213 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,314 base hits and 662 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 522 batters and struck out 1,593. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .346 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 204 hits this season in 590 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .547 and an OPS+ of 165. Carlos Correa is hitting .315 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .391. He has totaled 133 hits and he has driven in 84 men in 422 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Astros have 1,581 hits, including 346 doubles and 238 home runs. Houston has walked 509 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,087 times as a unit. They have left 1,094 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 896 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 93-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.65, Rick Porcello has a 11-17 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 181 strikeouts over the 203.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 236 hits. He allows 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 442 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 579 batters and walked 179 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,384 base knocks and 610 earned runs this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 465 hitters and struck out 1,580 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .344. He has 166 hits this year along with 102 RBI in 628 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 108. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 156 hits in 571 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .403. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,461 base hits, including 302 doubles and 168 homers. Boston has walked 571 times this year and they have struck out on 1,224 occasions. They have had 1,134 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They have scored 4.85 runs per game and totaled 785 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros +105

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