Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 9/29/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 29, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Doug Fister

Fenway Park is the site of the matchup between the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox on Friday, September 29, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Charlie Morton for the Astros and Doug Fister for the Red Sox.

Houston opens at -131 while Boston opens at +121. The Astros have a 79-70-9 over/under record and a 84-74-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 83-75-0 against the run line and have a 69-83-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 79-70-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 84-74-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 69-83-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 83-75-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb 10-day DL (09/14)
07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return for the 2018 season)
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/27/17 RF Mookie Betts Wrist "?" Thursday vs. Houston Astros
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 98-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 13-7 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 159 strikeouts over his 141.1 innings pitched and he's given up 121 hits. He allows 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 476 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 644 hitters and walked 206 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,286 base hits and 649 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 511 batters and struck out 1,555. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .347 with an on-base percentage of .413. He has 200 hits this season in 576 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .552 and an OPS+ of 167. Josh Reddick is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 477 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Astros have 1,542 hits, including 338 doubles and 233 home runs. Houston has walked 492 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,050 times as a unit. They have left 1,063 men on base and have a team OPS of .824. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 874 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 92-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.87, Doug Fister has a 5-8 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 85 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 82 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 556 batters and walked 169 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,345 base knocks and 588 earned runs this season. They have given up 190 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 448 hitters and struck out 1,543 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .343. He has 164 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 619 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 107. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 152 hits in 559 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .401. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,433 base hits, including 293 doubles and 166 homers. Boston has walked 560 times this year and they have struck out on 1,186 occasions. They have had 1,109 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 772 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox +121

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