Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 9/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers vs. Drew Pomeranz

The Houston Astros visit Fenway Park on Saturday, September 30, 2017 to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Lance McCullers for the Astros and Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -123 and Boston at +113. The Astros have a 80-70-9 over/under record and a 85-74-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 83-76-0 against the run line and have a 70-83-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 80-70-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 85-74-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 70-83-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 83-76-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/28/2017 Josh Reddick RF Back Probable for Sep 29
9/15/2017 Franklin Perez SP Finger Out for the season
9/14/2017 Jake Marisnick CF Thumb Out for the season
9/1/2017 Brady Rodgers RP Elbow Out for the season
7/3/2017 David Paulino SP Suspension Suspended until Oct 1
6/21/2017 Jandel Gustave RP Elbow Out for the season
6/20/2017 Joe Perez Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/28/2017 Eduardo Nunez 2B Knee Probable for Sep 29
9/12/2017 Josh Pennington SP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/8/2017 Yankory Pimentel Suspension Suspended until Feb 1, 2018
8/31/2017 Robbie Ross RP Back Out for the season
8/30/2017 Josh Rutledge 3B Hip Out for the season
8/28/2017 C.J. Chatham SS Hamstring Out for the season
8/25/2017 Jason Groome SP Forearm Out for the season
8/23/2017 Kyri Washington LF Undisclosed Out for the season
6/15/2017 Tyler Thornburg SP Shoulder Out for the season
5/28/2017 Marco Hernandez 2B Shoulder Out for the season
5/18/2017 Steven Wright SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 99-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance McCullers has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 126 strikeouts over his 114.1 innings pitched and he's given up 108 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 478 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 647 hitters and walked 208 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,292 base hits and 651 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 514 batters and struck out 1,560. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .283, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .481 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .350 with an on-base percentage of .415. He has 203 hits this season in 580 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .555 and an OPS+ of 168. Josh Reddick is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 477 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Astros have 1,559 hits, including 342 doubles and 236 home runs. Houston has walked 498 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,060 times as a unit. They have left 1,074 men on base and have a team OPS of .827. They score 5.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 886 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 92-67 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.38, Drew Pomeranz has a 16-6 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 171 strikeouts over the 167.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 163 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 564 batters and walked 173 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,362 base knocks and 600 earned runs this season. They have given up 193 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 454 hitters and struck out 1,553 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .342. He has 164 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 622 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 107. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .274 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 154 hits in 563 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .401. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,439 base hits, including 293 doubles and 167 homers. Boston has walked 563 times this year and they have struck out on 1,191 occasions. They have had 1,117 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.87 runs per game and totaled 774 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -123

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