Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers 7/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, July 30, 2017

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers vs. Justin Verlander

The Houston Astros head to Comerica Park on Sunday, July 30, 2017 to take on the Detroit Tigers. The expected starting pitchers are Lance McCullers for the Astros and Justin Verlander for the Tigers.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at -128 and Detroit at +118. The Astros have a 55-40-7 over/under mark and a 59-43-0 run line record. The Tigers are 49-52-0 against the run line and have a 53-42-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 55-40-7 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 59-43-0 against the run line

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 53-42-6 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 49-52-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

07/28/17 3B Alex Bregman Leg "?" Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers
07/28/17 CF George Springer Quad 10-day DL (07/25)
07/23/17 3B Colin Moran Facial 10-day DL (07/23)
07/18/17 SS Carlos Correa Thumb 10-day DL (07/18)
07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80 game suspension
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

07/06/17 P Daniel Norris Groin 10-day DL (07/06)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 68-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance McCullers has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 114 strikeouts over his 100.2 innings pitched and he's given up 92 hits. He allows 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 298 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen and they've struck out 445 hitters and walked 126 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 813 base hits and 412 earned runs. They have allowed 122 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 323 batters and struck out 1041. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .292, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .502 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 10.2 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .310 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 114 hits this season in 368 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .590 and an OPS+ of 167. Jose Altuve is hitting .369 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .433. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 59 men in 390 at bats. His OPS+ is 181 while his slugging percentage is at .585. The Astros have 1040 hits, including 227 doubles and 167 home runs. Houston has walked 329 times so far this season and they have struck out 696 times as a unit. They have left 701 men on base and have a team OPS of .857. They score 5.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 605 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 45-56 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Justin Verlander has a 5-7 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 120 strikeouts over the 124 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 122 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.45 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 281 batters and walked 142 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 942 base knocks and 492 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 341 hitters and struck out 756 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.58.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Tigers hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Justin Upton comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .368. He has 95 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 344 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .500 with an OPS+ of 132. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 83 hits in 324 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .423. The Tigers as a unit have 898 base hits, including 184 doubles and 120 homers. Detroit has walked 355 times this year and they have struck out on 818 occasions. They have had 704 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 485 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -128

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn