Houston Astros at New York Yankees 10/16/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, October 16, 2017

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. CC Sabathia

The Houston Astros head to Yankee Stadium on Monday, October 16, 2017 to take on the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the ALCS. The Astros lead the series 2-0. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton for the Astros and CC Sabathia for the Yankees.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at +115 and New York at -125. The Astros have a 84-75-9 over/under mark and a 87-81-0 run line record. The Yankees are 95-75-0 against the run line and have a 86-80-4 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 84-75-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 87-81-0 against the run line

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 86-80-4 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 95-75-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

10/01/17 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 60-day DL (08/31)
10/01/17 P David Paulino Elbow 60-day DL (10/01)
09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb out indefinitely
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (04/19)

Key New York Yankees Injuries

09/17/17 P Caleb Smith Virus 10-day DL (09/14)
08/15/17 P Luis Cessa Ribs 60-day DL (08/15)
07/16/17 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (07/11)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 101-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 14-7 record with an earned run average of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 163 strikeouts over his 146.2 innings pitched and he's given up 125 hits. He allows 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 485 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 662 hitters and walked 213 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,314 base hits and 662 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 522 batters and struck out 1,593. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. Carlos Correa is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .391. He has 133 hits this season in 422 at bats with 84 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .550 and an OPS+ of 160. George Springer is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 155 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 548 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Astros have 1,581 hits, including 346 doubles and 238 home runs. Houston has walked 509 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,087 times as a unit. They have left 1,094 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 896 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 91-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.69, CC Sabathia has a 14-5 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 120 strikeouts over the 148.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 139 hits. He allows 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 653 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,248 base knocks and 599 earned runs this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 504 hitters and struck out 1,560 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .350. He has 157 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 594 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 104. Aaron Judge is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .422. He has collected 154 hits in 542 at bats while driving in 114 runs. He has an OPS+ of 171 and a slugging percentage of .627. The Yankees as a unit have 1,463 base hits, including 266 doubles and 241 homers. New York has walked 616 times this year and they have struck out on 1,386 occasions. They have had 1,184 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.3 runs per game and totaled 858 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros +115

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