Tuesday, July 4, 2017

Safeco Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Felix Hernandez

The Kansas City Royals head to Safeco Field on Tuesday, July 4, 2017 to take on the Seattle Mariners. The expected starting pitchers are Jason Vargas for the Royals and Felix Hernandez for the Mariners.

The odds for this matchup have Kansas City at -139 and Seattle at +129. The Royals have a 38-39-4 over/under mark and a 42-39-0 run line record. The Mariners are 39-44-0 against the run line and have a 39-40-4 over/under record.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 38-39-4 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 42-39-0 against the run line

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 39-40-4 against the over/under

The Seattle Mariners are 39-44-0 against the run line

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

07/01/17 P Matt Strahm Shoulder 10-day DL (07/01)
06/26/17 P Nathan Karns Arm 60-day DL (05/21)
06/02/17 RF Paulo Orlando Shin 60-day DL (06/01)
05/29/17 P Danny Duffy Oblique 10-day DL (05/29)

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

07/02/17 DH Nelson Cruz Knee missed last game, "?" Monday vs. Kansas City Royals
06/01/17 P Evan Marshall Hamstring 60-day DL (05/06)
05/14/17 P Ryan Weber Bicep 60-day DL (05/14)
05/10/17 P Hisashi Iwakuma Shoulder 10-day DL (05/07)
04/30/17 P Evan Scribner Elbow 60-day DL (04/26)
04/03/17 P Shae Simmons Forearm 60-day DL (03/31)
04/03/17 SS Shawn O'Malley Shoulder 60-day DL (03/31)
04/01/17 P Drew Smyly Arm 60-day DL (03/31)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 41-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 12-3 record with an earned run average of 2.22 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 74 strikeouts over his 101.1 innings pitched and he's given up 89 hits. He allows 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 260 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 720 base hits and 342 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 271 batters and struck out 624. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .251, good for 19th in the league. The Royals hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 84 hits this season in 294 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .449 and an OPS+ of 111. Mike Moustakas is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .306. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 289 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .547. The Royals have 689 hits, including 133 doubles and 98 home runs. Kansas City has walked 193 times so far this season and they have struck out 606 times as a unit. They have left 501 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 336 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 41-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.66, Felix Hernandez has a 3-2 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 38.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 52 hits. He allows 12.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 259 batters and walked 106 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 725 base knocks and 376 earned runs this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 263 hitters and struck out 593 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league. The Mariners hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .370. He has 79 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 275 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .502 with an OPS+ of 134. Robinson Cano is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 82 hits in 289 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .505. The Mariners as a unit have 749 base hits, including 142 doubles and 93 homers. Seattle has walked 271 times this year and they have struck out on 659 occasions. They have had 568 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.86 runs per game and totaled 403 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals -139

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