Mets at Braves 3/25/2017 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Tony Sink - 3/24/2017
Saturday, March 25, 2017
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. R.A. Dickey
The New York Mets visit Champion Stadium on Saturday, March 25, 2017 to play the Atlanta Braves in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and R.A. Dickey for the Braves.
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The opening line for this matchup has New York at -105 and Atlanta at -115. The Mets had a 74-85-3 over/under record and a 76-86-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The Braves were 85-76-0 against the run line and had a 82-69-10 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets were 74-85-3 against the over/under last season
The New York Mets were 76-86-0 against the run line last season
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves were 82-69-10 against the over/under last season
The Atlanta Braves were 85-76-0 against the run line last season
Key New York Mets Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
No key injuries to report
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets are coming off a 87-75 record in 2016, including 43-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom had a 7-8 record with an earned run average of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.20. He had 143 strikeouts over his 148 innings pitched and he gave up 142 hits last season. He allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.32. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.53 and they gave up 472 base hits on the year. Teams hit .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 569 times and walking 189 times last season. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine innings. They were 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers collectively gave up 1,398 base hits and 575 earned runs. They allowed 152 home runs last season and they allowed 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff walked 439 batters and struck out 1,396. They walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit was 3.57.
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As a team New York batted .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Mets held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 26th in baseball with 8.28 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .280 with an on-base percentage of .336. He had 146 hits last season along with 65 runs scored and 62 runs batted in. He struck out 103 times and walked 38 times. Yoenis Cespedes hit .280 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .354. He totaled 134 hits while scoring 72 runs and he drove in 86. He walked 51 times and struck out on 108 occasions. The Mets had 1,342 hits, including 240 doubles and 218 home runs. They stole 42 bases and were thrown out stealing 18 times. New York walked 517 times last season and they struck out 1,302 times as a unit. They left 1,120 men on base and had a team OPS of .733. They scored 4.14 runs per contest and scored a total of 671 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta had a 31-50 home record and a 68-93 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 4.46, R.A. Dickey had a 10-15 record and a 1.37 WHIP last season. He had 126 strikeouts over the 169.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 169 hits. He allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.03. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.95 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 543 times and walking 256 times last season. As a team, Atlanta allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine innings. They were 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Braves pitchers as a team surrendered 1,414 base knocks and 725 earned runs last season. They gave up 177 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff walked 547 hitters and struck out 1,227. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 4.32.
As a team, they batted .255, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Braves held a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which was good for 16th in baseball. They ranked 15th in baseball with 8.72 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup after batting .302 with an OBP of .400. He had 178 hits last year along with 102 runs scored and 91 RBI. He struck out 171 times and walked on 89 occasions. Nick Markakis hit .269 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .346. He collected 161 hits while scoring 67 runs and driving in 89. He earned a walk 71 times and punched out 101 times. The Braves as a unit had 1,404 base hits, including 295 doubles and 122 homers. They had 75 stolen bases and were thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team walked 502 times last year and they struck out 1,240 times. They had 1,161 men left on base and had an OPS of .705. They scored 4.03 runs per game and totaled 649 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the moneyline?
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets -105
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