Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds 7/21/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, July 21, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Homer Bailey

The Miami Marlins head to Great American Ball Park on Friday, July 21, 2017 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Homer Bailey for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +110 and Cincinnati at -120. The Marlins have a 50-37-6 over/under mark and a 47-46-0 run line record. The Reds are 49-45-0 against the run line and have a 50-40-4 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 50-37-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 47-46-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-40-4 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 49-45-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/19/2017 Edinson Volquez SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/18/2017 Wei-Yin Chen SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/18/2017 Martin Prado 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/17/2017 Isaac Galloway CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/15/2017 Brad Ziegler RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/5/2017 Brett Lilek Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/30/2017 Tyler Kolek SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/20/2017 Braxton Garrett SP Elbow Out for the season
4/11/2017 Isael Soto CF Foot Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/18/2017 Scott Feldman SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/18/2017 Nefi Ogando RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/17/2017 Anthony DeSclafani SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/15/2017 Rookie Davis SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/14/2017 Lucas Luetge RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/8/2017 Brandon Finnegan SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
7/4/2017 Rob Wooten RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2017 Nick Howard SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/1/2017 Andrew McKirahan RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/27/2017 Bronson Arroyo SP Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2017 Nick Travieso RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/6/2017 Ian Kahaloa SP Suspension Suspended until Aug 16
11/9/2016 Jon Moscot SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 42-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 61 strikeouts over his 89.1 innings pitched and he's given up 82 hits. He allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 343 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 341 hitters and walked 158 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.69. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 801 base hits and 431 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 363 batters and struck out 732. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league. The Marlins hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 114 hits this season in 362 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .555 and an OPS+ of 145. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 95 hits and he has driven in 64 men in 346 at bats. His OPS+ is 149 while his slugging percentage is at .590. The Marlins have 857 hits, including 151 doubles and 110 home runs. Miami has walked 253 times so far this season and they have struck out 728 times as a unit. They have left 637 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 428 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 40-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.13, Homer Bailey has a 2-3 record and a 2.16 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 35 hits. He allows 14.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 360 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 850 base knocks and 488 earned runs this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 359 hitters and struck out 754 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.29.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 11th in the league. The Reds hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Adam Duvall comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .319. He has 96 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 352 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .534 with an OPS+ of 116. Joey Votto is hitting .307 this season and he has an OBP of .425. He has collected 102 hits in 332 at bats while driving in 68 runs. He has an OPS+ of 164 and a slugging percentage of .605. The Reds as a unit have 837 base hits, including 162 doubles and 129 homers. Cincinnati has walked 300 times this year and they have struck out on 766 occasions. They have had 665 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 442 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -120

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