Sunday, June 11, 2017
PNC Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jeff Locke vs. Ivan Nova
The Miami Marlins head to PNC Park on Sunday, June 11, 2017 to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The expected starting pitchers are Jeff Locke for the Marlins and Ivan Nova for the Pirates.
The odds for this matchup have Miami at +128 and Pittsburgh at -138. The Marlins have a 35-22-3 over/under mark and a 28-32-0 run line record. The Pirates are 29-32-0 against the run line and have a 30-28-3 over/under record.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 35-22-3 against the over/under
The Miami Marlins are 28-32-0 against the run line
Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 30-28-3 against the over/under
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-32-0 against the run line
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
06/06/17 1B Justin Bour Ankle 10-day DL (06/05)
06/01/17 P Justin Nicolino Finger 10-day DL (05/31)
05/19/17 P Tom Koehler Shoulder 10-day DL (05/17)
05/17/17 P Junichi Tazawa Ribs 10-day DL (05/16)
05/11/17 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Oblique 10-day DL (05/10)
05/09/17 SS Miguel Rojas Thumb 60-day DL (05/09)
05/08/17 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (05/08)
05/06/17 P Wei-Yin Chen Arm 10-day DL (05/02)
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
06/07/17 C Francisco Cervelli Concussion 7-day DL (6/7)
06/06/17 P Ivan Nova Knee left last game, is "?" for next scheduled start
05/30/17 C Chris Stewart Hamstring 10-day DL (05/30)
05/28/17 P Antonio Bastardo Quad 10-day DL (04/25)
05/28/17 P Josh Lindblom Side 10-day DL (05/20)
05/06/17 P Jameson Taillon Groin 10-day DL (05/04)
04/18/17 CF Starling Marte Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 07/18 vs. Milwaukee)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 27-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jeff Locke has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 10 strikeouts over his 10.1 innings pitched and he's given up 7 hits. He allows 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 206 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 209 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 481 base hits and 267 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 249 batters and struck out 475. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other MLB games check out our handicapping tips.
Hitting Statistics
As a team Miami is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Marlins hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .328 with an on-base percentage of .389. He has 76 hits this season in 232 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .565 and an OPS+ of 154. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 226 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .566. The Marlins have 557 hits, including 92 doubles and 72 home runs. Miami has walked 164 times so far this season and they have struck out 467 times as a unit. They have left 416 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 276 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Pittsburgh has a 26-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.04, Ivan Nova has a 5-4 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 83 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 82 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 188 batters and walked 76 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 588 base knocks and 271 earned runs this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 172 hitters and struck out 440 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Pirates hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Josh Harrison comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .375. He has 69 hits this year along with 20 RBI in 224 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .473 with an OPS+ of 124. Adam Frazier is hitting .293 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 43 hits in 147 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Pirates as a unit have 508 base hits, including 100 doubles and 57 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 216 times this year and they have struck out on 458 occasions. They have had 440 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.2 runs per game and totaled 256 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Pirates MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +128
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks