Sunday, May 21, 2017
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Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. John Lackey
Wrigley Field is the site of the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs on Sunday, May 21, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and John Lackey for the Cubs.
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Milwaukee opens at -105 while Chicago opens at -105. The Brewers have a 27-15-1 over/under record and a 29-14-0 run line mark. The Cubs are 15-26-0 against the run line and have a 26-14-1 over/under record.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-15-1 against the over/under
The Milwaukee Brewers are 29-14-0 against the run line
Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 26-14-1 against the over/under
The Chicago Cubs are 15-26-0 against the run line
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
05/12/17 LF Ryan Braun Calf 10-day DL (5/11)
04/03/17 P Junior Guerra Calf 10-day DL (4/4)
Key Chicago Cubs Injuries
05/19/17 RF Jason Heyward Hand 10-day DL (5/6); expected to be activated Saturday vs. Milwaukee
05/07/17 P Brett Anderson Back 10-day DL (5/6)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 25-18 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 41 strikeouts over his 44.1 innings pitched and he's given up 45 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 154 hitters and walked 82 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 396 base hits and 174 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 156 batters and struck out 342. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.
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As a team Milwaukee is hitting .259, good for 11th in the league. The Brewers hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Eric Thames is hitting .313 with an on-base percentage of .438. He has 41 hits this season in 131 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .679 and an OPS+ of 185. Travis Shaw is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 43 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 150 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .540. The Brewers have 380 hits, including 84 doubles and 65 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 142 times so far this season and they have struck out 399 times as a unit. They have left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 227 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 21-20 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.37, John Lackey has a 4-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 47.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 51 hits. He allows 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 168 batters and walked 67 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 354 base knocks and 164 earned runs this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 152 hitters and struck out 382 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league. The Cubs hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .394. He has 44 hits this year along with 20 RBI in 152 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 146. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 35 hits in 156 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .397. The Cubs as a unit have 344 base hits, including 69 doubles and 48 homers. Chicago has walked 175 times this year and they have struck out on 361 occasions. They have had 318 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 200 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Cubs MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs -105
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