Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Tim Adleman

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, June 27, 2017 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Tim Adleman for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Milwaukee at +107 and Cincinnati at -117. The Brewers have a 42-32-4 over/under mark and a 45-33-0 run line record. The Reds are 40-34-0 against the run line and have a 44-27-3 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-32-4 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-33-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 44-27-3 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-34-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

06/21/17 P Wily Peralta Calf 10-day DL (06/21)
06/14/17 P Brandon Woodruff Hamstring 10-day DL (06/13)
06/10/17 2B Jonathan Villar Back 10-day DL (06/10)
05/27/17 LF Ryan Braun Calf 10-day DL (05/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

06/25/17 P Brandon Finnegan Shoulder 60-day DL (04/16); expected to be activated & start Monday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/19/17 P Bronson Arroyo Shoulder 10-day DL (06/19)
06/19/17 SS Zack Cozart Quad 10-day DL (06/18)
06/18/17 P Anthony DeSclafani Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)
04/03/17 P Nefi Ogando Hand 60-day DL (03/30)
04/02/17 P Nick Travieso Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 41-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 27 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He allows 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 258 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 268 hitters and walked 135 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 694 base hits and 327 earned runs. They have allowed 93 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 273 batters and struck out 621. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .252, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .369. He has 70 hits this season in 253 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .470 and an OPS+ of 117. Eric Thames is hitting .249 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 61 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 245 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .559. The Brewers have 671 hits, including 149 doubles and 110 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 255 times so far this season and they have struck out 746 times as a unit. They have left 516 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 371 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 31-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.30, Tim Adleman has a 4-4 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 69 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 62 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 278 batters and walked 130 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.23. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 665 base knocks and 383 earned runs this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 291 hitters and struck out 567 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 11th in the league. The Reds hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Adam Duvall comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .324. He has 76 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 275 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 118. Joey Votto is hitting .301 this season and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 81 hits in 269 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 156 and a slugging percentage of .584. The Reds as a unit have 674 base hits, including 133 doubles and 105 homers. Cincinnati has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out on 600 occasions. They have had 524 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 4.91 runs per game and totaled 363 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -117

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