Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies 7/21/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, July 21, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Aaron Nola

Citizens Bank Park is the site of the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, July 21, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

Milwaukee opens at +115 while Philadelphia opens at -125. The Brewers have a 49-44-4 over/under record and a 56-41-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 48-45-0 against the run line and have a 42-44-7 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-44-4 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 56-41-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-44-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-45-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/19/2017 Ryan Braun LF Calf Probable for Jul 20
7/19/2017 Kirk Nieuwenhuis CF Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/18/2017 Chase Anderson SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/18/2017 Eric Sogard 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/18/2017 Stephen Vogt C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/17/2017 Ryan Cordell CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/17/2017 Michael Reed RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/16/2017 Phil Bickford SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/14/2017 Wily Peralta SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/2/2017 Brandon Woodruff SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
6/30/2017 Yhonathan Barrios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
3/23/2017 Devin Williams SP Elbow Out for the season
10/29/2016 Sean Nolin SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2016 Adrian Houser SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/19/2017 Aaron Altherr RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/17/2017 Jeremy Hellickson SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/16/2017 Howie Kendrick LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/15/2017 Elniery Garcia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/13/2017 Mark Appel SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/11/2017 Roman Quinn CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/10/2017 Casey Fien RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
7/6/2017 Kevin Gowdy SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/4/2017 Clay Buchholz SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
5/27/2017 Jesmuel Valentin 2B Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 52-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Garza has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 52 strikeouts over his 77.1 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He allows 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 343 hitters and walked 166 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 848 base hits and 393 earned runs. They have allowed 115 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 337 batters and struck out 788. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .254, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .386. He has 93 hits this season in 316 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .509 and an OPS+ of 130. Orlando Arcia is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 320 at bats. His OPS+ is 90 while his slugging percentage is at .416. The Brewers have 842 hits, including 173 doubles and 145 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 316 times so far this season and they have struck out 940 times as a unit. They have left 642 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 472 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 32-61 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.54, Aaron Nola has a 6-6 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 86.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 77 hits. He allows 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 289 batters and walked 129 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 841 base knocks and 423 earned runs this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 301 hitters and struck out 708 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .302. He has 92 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 352 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .418 with an OPS+ of 89. Aaron Altherr is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 78 hits in 271 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .539. The Phillies as a unit have 777 base hits, including 168 doubles and 94 homers. Philadelphia has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out on 801 occasions. They have had 607 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 3.92 runs per game and totaled 365 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers +115

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald