Tuesday, July 18, 2017

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Ivan Nova

The Milwaukee Brewers head to PNC Park on Tuesday, July 18, 2017 to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The expected starting pitchers are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Ivan Nova for the Pirates.

The odds for this matchup have Milwaukee at +128 and Pittsburgh at -138. The Brewers have a 49-41-4 over/under mark and a 54-40-0 run line record. The Pirates are 49-43-0 against the run line and have a 37-50-5 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-41-4 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-40-0 against the run line

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 37-50-5 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 49-43-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/09/17 P Junior Guerra Shin 10-day DL (07/08)
07/06/17 2B Eric Sogard Ankle 10-day DL (07/05)
06/28/17 P Chase Anderson Ribs 10-day DL (06/28)
06/21/17 P Wily Peralta Calf 10-day DL (06/21)
06/14/17 P Brandon Woodruff Hamstring 10-day DL (06/13)

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

04/18/17 CF Starling Marte Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 07/18 vs. Milwaukee)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 52-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.59. He has 39 strikeouts over his 49 innings pitched and he's given up 47 hits. He allows 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 338 hitters and walked 162 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 817 base hits and 383 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 329 batters and struck out 773. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .254, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .387. He has 89 hits this season in 303 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 130. Orlando Arcia is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 86 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 309 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .417. The Brewers have 813 hits, including 170 doubles and 143 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 310 times so far this season and they have struck out 904 times as a unit. They have left 617 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 465 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 44-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.21, Ivan Nova has a 9-6 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 120.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 117 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 309 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 283 batters and walked 114 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 852 base knocks and 382 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 257 hitters and struck out 680 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 25th in the league. The Pirates hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Josh Harrison comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .352. He has 90 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 330 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 103. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .294 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 96 hits in 327 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .520. The Pirates as a unit have 758 base hits, including 151 doubles and 89 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 318 times this year and they have struck out on 666 occasions. They have had 664 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 387 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers +128

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