Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates 7/20/2017 Free MLB Pick and Parlay

Thursday, July 20, 2017

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Jameson Taillon

The Milwaukee Brewers visit PNC Park on Thursday, July 20, 2017 to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Jameson Taillon for the Pirates.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +119 and Pittsburgh at -129. The Brewers have a 49-42-4 over/under record and a 54-41-0 run line mark. The Pirates are 50-43-0 against the run line and have a 37-51-5 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-42-4 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-41-0 against the run line

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 37-51-5 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 50-43-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

07/18/17 P Junior Guerra Shin 10-day DL (07/08); expected to be activated & start Tuesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
07/06/17 2B Eric Sogard Ankle 10-day DL (07/05)
06/28/17 P Chase Anderson Ribs 10-day DL (06/28)
06/21/17 P Wily Peralta Calf 10-day DL (06/21)
06/14/17 P Brandon Woodruff Hamstring 10-day DL (06/13)

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

07/17/17 CF Starling Marte Suspension Served is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 52-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 127 strikeouts over his 115.2 innings pitched and he's given up 112 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 309 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 341 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 830 base hits and 387 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 778. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .254, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Domingo Santana is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .385. He has 89 hits this season in 306 at bats with 50 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 128. Orlando Arcia is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .319. He has totaled 88 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 313 at bats. His OPS+ is 90 while his slugging percentage is at .419. The Brewers have 821 hits, including 171 doubles and 143 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 314 times so far this season and they have struck out 914 times as a unit. They have left 628 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 467 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 45-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.06, Jameson Taillon has a 5-3 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 64 strikeouts over the 67.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 70 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 313 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 286 batters and walked 115 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 860 base knocks and 384 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 261 hitters and struck out 690 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 23rd in the league. The Pirates hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Josh Harrison comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .353. He has 91 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 334 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .422 with an OPS+ of 103. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .294 this season and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 97 hits in 330 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .518. The Pirates as a unit have 771 base hits, including 154 doubles and 89 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 321 times this year and they have struck out on 671 occasions. They have had 674 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They have scored 4.2 runs per game and totaled 391 runs this season.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Pirates -129 and over 3 total runs

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