Saturday, July 15, 2017

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Joe Musgrove

The Minnesota Twins head to Minute Maid Park on Saturday, July 15, 2017 to take on the Houston Astros. The expected starting pitchers are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Joe Musgrove for the Astros.

The odds for this matchup have Minnesota at +143 and Houston at -153. The Twins have a 39-44-5 over/under mark and a 44-44-0 run line record. The Astros are 53-36-0 against the run line and have a 47-35-7 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 39-44-5 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 44-44-0 against the run line

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 47-35-7 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 53-36-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

07/07/17 1B Joe Mauer Back 10-day DL (07/05)
07/06/17 P Hector Santiago Back 10-day DL (07/03)
06/29/17 P Craig Breslow Ribs 10-day DL (06/28)
05/28/17 P Justin Haley Shoulder 10-day DL (05/28)
05/28/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Forearm 60-day DL (03/30)
03/31/17 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (04/02)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/22)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80 game suspension
06/09/17 P Dallas Keuchel Neck 10-day DL (06/05)
06/09/17 P Collin McHugh Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 45-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 10-6 record with an earned run average of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 91 strikeouts over his 120.1 innings pitched and he's given up 90 hits. He allows 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 337 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen and they've struck out 246 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 833 base hits and 427 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 291 batters and struck out 606. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 5.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .253, good for 19th in the league. The Twins hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Miguel Sano is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 83 hits this season in 301 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .538 and an OPS+ of 138. Brian Dozier is hitting .242 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 41 men in 331 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .417. The Twins have 764 hits, including 154 doubles and 100 home runs. Minnesota has walked 323 times so far this season and they have struck out 735 times as a unit. They have left 640 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 403 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 60-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.04, Joe Musgrove has a 4-7 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 62 strikeouts over the 73 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 87 hits. He allows 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.09 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 390 batters and walked 110 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 702 base knocks and 349 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 282 hitters and struck out 902 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .289, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 10.1 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this matchup batting .325 with an OBP of .402. He has 103 hits this year along with 65 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .577 with an OPS+ of 168. Jose Altuve is hitting .347 this season and he has an OBP of .417. He has collected 116 hits in 334 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 166 and a slugging percentage of .551. The Astros as a unit have 898 base hits, including 197 doubles and 148 homers. Houston has walked 291 times this year and they have struck out on 602 occasions. They have had 606 men left on base and have an OPS of .855. They have scored 5.92 runs per game and totaled 527 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins +143

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