Sunday, March 19, 2017

Roger Dean Stadium

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Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Adam Conley

The Washington Nationals visit Roger Dean Stadium on Sunday, March 19, 2017 to play the Miami Marlins in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Adam Conley for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +115 and Miami at -135. The Nationals had a 76-78-8 over/under record and a 83-79-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 51% of the time. The Marlins were 76-85-0 against the run line and had a 80-75-6 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.

The Nationals are coming off a 95-67 record in 2016, including 45-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg had a 15-4 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.10. He had 183 strikeouts over his 147.2 innings pitched and he gave up 119 hits last season. He allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 2.92. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.37 and they gave up 429 base hits on the year. Teams hit .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 489 times and walking 164 times last season. As a team, Washington allowed 7.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They were 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Nationals pitchers collectively gave up 1,272 base hits and 570 earned runs. They allowed 155 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff walked 468 batters and struck out 1,476. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit was 3.58.

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As a team Washington batted .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Nationals held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 20th in baseball with 8.66 hits per game. Daniel Murphy is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .347 with an on-base percentage of .390. He had 184 hits last season along with 88 runs scored and 104 runs batted in. He struck out 57 times and walked 35 times. Bryce Harper hit .243 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .373. He totaled 123 hits while scoring 84 runs and he drove in 86. He walked 108 times and struck out on 117 occasions. The Nationals had 1,403 hits, including 268 doubles and 203 home runs. They stole 121 bases and were thrown out stealing 39 times. Washington walked 536 times last season and they struck out 1,252 times as a unit. They left 1,105 men on base and had a team OPS of .751. They scored 4.71 runs per contest and scored a total of 763 runs last year.

Miami had a 40-40 home record and a 79-82 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.85, Adam Conley had a 8-6 record and a 1.40 WHIP last season. He had 124 strikeouts over the 133.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 125 hits. He allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.2. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.63 and they gave up 492 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 570 times and walking 262 times last season. As a team, Miami allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine innings. They were 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,358 base knocks and 646 earned runs last season. They gave up 152 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff walked 595 hitters and struck out 1,379. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 3.97.

As a team, they batted .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Marlins held a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 13th in baseball. They ranked 5th in baseball with 9.07 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup after batting .298 with an OBP of .376. He had 172 hits last year along with 78 runs scored and 98 RBI. He struck out 138 times and walked on 72 occasions. Martin Prado hit .305 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .359. He collected 183 hits while scoring 70 runs and driving in 75. He earned a walk 49 times and punched out 69 times. The Marlins as a unit had 1,460 base hits, including 259 doubles and 128 homers. They had 71 stolen bases and were thrown out 28 times. Miami as a team walked 447 times last year and they struck out 1,213 times. They had 1,171 men left on base and had an OPS of .716. They scored 4.07 runs per game and totaled 655 runs last season.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals were 76-78-8 against the over/under last season

The Washington Nationals were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins were 80-75-6 against the over/under last season

The Miami Marlins were 76-85-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

No key injuries to report

Miami Marlins

03/17/17 3B Martin Prado Hamstring "?"

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals +115

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