Sunday, June 11, 2017
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Probable Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Jaime Garcia
The New York Mets visit Turner Field on Sunday, June 11, 2017 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Seth Lugo for the Mets and Jaime Garcia for the Braves.
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The opening line for this matchup has New York at +105 and Atlanta at -115. The Mets have a 35-15-8 over/under record and a 23-35-0 run line mark. The Braves are 33-26-0 against the run line and have a 35-23-1 over/under record.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 35-15-8 against the over/under
The New York Mets are 23-35-0 against the run line
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 35-23-1 against the over/under
The Atlanta Braves are 33-26-0 against the run line
Key New York Mets Injuries
06/10/17 CF Yoenis Cespedes Hamstring 10-day DL (04/28); expect to be activated Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/27/17 P Seth Lugo Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/24/17 P Tommy Milone Knee 10-day DL (05/22)
05/12/17 P Jeurys Familia Shoulder 60-day DL (05/11)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)
03/30/17 P Steven Matz Elbow 10-day DL (03/30)
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
06/07/17 3B Adonis Garcia Finger 10-day DL (06/07)
06/06/17 P Bartolo Colon Oblique 10-day DL (06/06)
05/28/17 P Armando Rivero Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 P Chaz Roe Shoulder 60-day DL (04/09)
05/28/17 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist 10-day DL (05/18)
05/28/17 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)
05/28/17 2B Micah Johnson Wrist 60-day DL (03/30)
05/28/17 1B Sean Rodriguez Shoulder 60-day DL (02/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 25-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Seth Lugo is expected to make his season debut for New York. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 227 hitters and walked 98 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 569 base hits and 291 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 225 batters and struck out 528. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.
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As a team New York is hitting .244, good for 22nd in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Michael Conforto is hitting .297 with an on-base percentage of .406. He has 54 hits this season in 182 at bats with 36 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .604 and an OPS+ of 166. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 17 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 63 at bats. His OPS+ is 160 while his slugging percentage is at .619. The Mets have 491 hits, including 109 doubles and 84 home runs. New York has walked 209 times so far this season and they have struck out 440 times as a unit. They have left 396 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 283 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 27-32 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.21, Jaime Garcia has a 2-4 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 70 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 59 hits. He allows 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 175 batters and walked 74 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 517 base knocks and 264 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 202 hitters and struck out 404 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Brandon Phillips comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .343. He has 56 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 190 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 97. Nick Markakis is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 65 hits in 226 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .376. The Braves as a unit have 547 base hits, including 109 doubles and 58 homers. Atlanta has walked 181 times this year and they have struck out on 436 occasions. They have had 413 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.58 runs per game and totaled 270 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -115
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