New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 8/11/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, August 11, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Nick Pivetta

Citizens Bank Park is the site of the matchup between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, August 11, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Seth Lugo for the Mets and Nick Pivetta for the Phillies.

New York opens at -108 while Philadelphia opens at -102. The Mets have a 63-37-11 over/under record and a 46-65-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 59-52-0 against the run line and have a 48-54-9 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 63-37-11 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 46-65-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-54-9 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 59-52-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/28/17 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 10-day DL (07/28)
07/24/17 P Zack Wheeler Arm 10-day DL (07/23)
07/08/17 CF Brandon Nimmo Lung 10-day DL (07/08)
06/28/17 P Robert Gsellman Hamstring 10-day DL (06/28)
06/23/17 P Tommy Milone Knee 60-day DL (05/22)
06/16/17 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 10-day DL (06/16)
06/15/17 P Matt Harvey Arm 10-day DL (06/15)
05/12/17 P Jeurys Familia Shoulder 60-day DL (05/11)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

08/08/17 C Andrew Knapp Hand 10-day DL (08/04)
08/05/17 CF Aaron Altherr Hamstring 10-day DL (08/04)
06/23/17 P Casey Fien Shoulder 60-day DL (06/23)
04/23/17 P Clay Buchholz Forearm 60-day DL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 50-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Seth Lugo has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 44 strikeouts over his 63.1 innings pitched and he's given up 69 hits. He allows 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 399 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 419 hitters and walked 177 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1067 base hits and 547 earned runs. They have allowed 161 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 398 batters and struck out 975. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .248, good for 21st in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jay Bruce is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .321. He has 104 hits this season in 406 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .520 and an OPS+ of 116. Michael Conforto is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 325 at bats. His OPS+ is 149 while his slugging percentage is at .566. The Mets have 940 hits, including 197 doubles and 164 home runs. New York has walked 354 times so far this season and they have struck out 870 times as a unit. They have left 733 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 518 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 42-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.89, Nick Pivetta has a 4-7 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 84 strikeouts over the 84 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 85 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 346 batters and walked 151 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1008 base knocks and 493 earned runs this season. They have given up 150 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 358 hitters and struck out 853 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .327. He has 118 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 416 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .466 with an OPS+ of 108. Freddy Galvis is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .306. He has collected 108 hits in 421 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Phillies as a unit have 943 base hits, including 204 doubles and 113 homers. Philadelphia has walked 336 times this year and they have struck out on 956 occasions. They have had 750 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.01 runs per game and totaled 445 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -108

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