New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 9/29/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 29, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Ben Lively

The New York Mets head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday, September 29, 2017 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Ben Lively for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have New York at +122 and Philadelphia at -132. The Mets have a 88-59-12 over/under mark and a 72-87-0 run line record. The Phillies are 88-71-0 against the run line and have a 69-76-14 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 88-59-12 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 72-87-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-76-14 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-71-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

09/07/17 3B Wilmer Flores Nose out for season
08/26/17 CF Yoenis Cespedes Hamstring 10-day DL (08/26)
08/25/17 LF Michael Conforto Shoulder 10-day DL (08/25)
08/21/17 P Steven Matz Elbow 60-day DL (08/19)
07/28/17 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 10-day DL (07/28)
07/24/17 P Zack Wheeler Arm 60-day DL (07/23)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/14/17 P Hector Neris Upper Body 60-day DL (09/14)
09/13/17 P Zach Eflin Shoulder 60-day DL (08/22)
09/06/17 2B Pedro Florimon Ankle 60-day DL (09/06)
09/01/17 P Jerad Eickhoff Hand 60-day DL (09/01)
08/11/17 P Vince Velasquez Finger 60-day DL (08/11)
06/23/17 P Casey Fien Shoulder 60-day DL (06/23)
04/23/17 P Clay Buchholz Forearm 60-day DL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 69-90 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.66. He has 64 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He allows 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 573 hitters and walked 260 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,510 base hits and 779 earned runs. They have allowed 214 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 580 batters and struck out 1,346. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .251, good for 19th in the league. The Mets hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 128 hits this season in 469 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS+ of 103. Jay Bruce is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 138 hits and he has driven in 96 men in 543 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Mets have 1,356 hits, including 283 doubles and 221 home runs. New York has walked 513 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,269 times as a unit. They have left 1,072 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 726 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 64-95 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.35, Ben Lively has a 3-7 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 84 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 525 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 535 batters and walked 216 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,448 base knocks and 720 earned runs this season. They have given up 218 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 511 hitters and struck out 1,287 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .305. He has 153 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 604 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .379 with an OPS+ of 81. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 146 hits in 501 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Phillies as a unit have 1,354 base hits, including 282 doubles and 168 homers. Philadelphia has walked 481 times this year and they have struck out on 1,389 occasions. They have had 1,059 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 669 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -132

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn