New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 9/30/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Henderson Alvarez

The New York Mets visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, September 30, 2017 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Henderson Alvarez for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -145 and Philadelphia at +131. The Mets have a 88-59-12 over/under record and a 72-87-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 88-71-0 against the run line and have a 69-76-14 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 88-59-12 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 72-87-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-76-14 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-71-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/27/2017 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
9/27/2017 AJ Ramos RP Biceps Probable for Sep 29
9/23/2017 Michael Conforto LF Shoulder Out for the season
9/23/2017 Zack Wheeler SP Arm Out for the season
9/16/2017 Patrick Mazeika C Undisclosed Out for the season
9/8/2017 Steven Matz SP Elbow Out for the season
9/7/2017 Wilmer Flores 3B Nose Out for the season
9/6/2017 Justin Dunn SP Undisclosed Out for the season
9/4/2017 Josh Edgin RP Knee Out for the season
9/4/2017 T.J. Rivera 3B Elbow Out for the season
9/4/2017 David Wright 3B Shoulder Out for the season
8/28/2017 Yoenis Cespedes LF Hamstring Out for the season
8/24/2017 Tyler Pill RP Elbow Out for the season
7/28/2017 Desmond Lindsay CF Elbow Out for the season
7/20/2017 Thomas Szapucki SP Elbow Out for the season
10/4/2016 Anthony Kay SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/23/2017 Roman Quinn CF Elbow Out for the season
9/21/2017 Jesen Therrien RP Elbow Out for the season
9/13/2017 Daniel Nava LF Back Out for the season
9/12/2017 Zach Eflin SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2017 Clay Buchholz SP Forearm Out for the season
9/5/2017 Pedro Florimon SS Ankle Out for the season
9/2/2017 Jerad Eickhoff SP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2017 Vince Velasquez SP Finger Out for the season
8/15/2017 Kevin Gowdy SP Elbow Out for the season
5/27/2017 Jesmuel Valentin 2B Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 69-90 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 15-10 record with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 239 strikeouts over his 201.1 innings pitched and he's given up 180 hits. He allows 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 573 hitters and walked 260 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,510 base hits and 779 earned runs. They have allowed 214 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 580 batters and struck out 1,346. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .251, good for 19th in the league. The Mets hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 128 hits this season in 469 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS+ of 103. Jay Bruce is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 139 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 547 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .506. The Mets have 1,356 hits, including 283 doubles and 221 home runs. New York has walked 513 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,269 times as a unit. They have left 1,072 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 726 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 64-95 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.60, Henderson Alvarez has a 0-1 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 10 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 9 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 525 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 535 batters and walked 216 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,448 base knocks and 720 earned runs this season. They have given up 218 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 511 hitters and struck out 1,287 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .305. He has 153 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 604 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .379 with an OPS+ of 81. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 146 hits in 501 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Phillies as a unit have 1,354 base hits, including 282 doubles and 168 homers. Philadelphia has walked 481 times this year and they have struck out on 1,389 occasions. They have had 1,059 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 669 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets -145

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