New York Mets at Seattle Mariners 7/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, July 28, 2017

Safeco Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rafael Montero vs. Ariel Miranda

The New York Mets visit Safeco Field on Friday, July 28, 2017 to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Rafael Montero for the Mets and Ariel Miranda for the Mariners.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +132 and Seattle at -142. The Mets have a 58-30-11 over/under record and a 41-58-0 run line mark. The Mariners are 47-56-0 against the run line and have a 48-51-4 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 58-30-11 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 41-58-0 against the run line

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 48-51-4 against the over/under

The Seattle Mariners are 47-56-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/24/17 P Zack Wheeler Arm 10-day DL (07/23)
07/08/17 CF Brandon Nimmo Lung 10-day DL (07/08)
06/28/17 P Robert Gsellman Hamstring 10-day DL (06/28)
06/23/17 P Tommy Milone Knee 60-day DL (05/22)
06/16/17 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 10-day DL (06/16)
06/15/17 P Matt Harvey Arm 10-day DL (06/15)
06/15/17 2B Neil Walker Hamstring 10-day DL (06/15)
05/12/17 P Jeurys Familia Shoulder 60-day DL (05/11)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

07/26/17 RF Jarrod Dyson Foot "?" Friday vs New York Mets
06/01/17 P Evan Marshall Hamstring 60-day DL (05/06)
05/14/17 P Ryan Weber Bicep 60-day DL (05/14)
05/10/17 P Hisashi Iwakuma Shoulder 60-day DL (05/07)
04/30/17 P Evan Scribner Elbow 60-day DL (04/26)
04/03/17 P Shae Simmons Forearm 60-day DL (03/31)
04/03/17 SS Shawn O'Malley Shoulder 60-day DL (03/31)
04/01/17 P Drew Smyly Arm 60-day DL (03/31)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 47-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rafael Montero has a 1-7 record with an earned run average of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.73. He has 52 strikeouts over his 52 innings pitched and he's given up 64 hits. He allows 11.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 361 hitters and walked 155 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 954 base hits and 480 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 350 batters and struck out 863. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .251, good for 21st in the league. The Mets hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Jay Bruce is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 97 hits this season in 370 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .516 and an OPS+ of 116. Michael Conforto is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 52 men in 275 at bats. His OPS+ is 150 while his slugging percentage is at .567. The Mets have 853 hits, including 183 doubles and 148 home runs. New York has walked 328 times so far this season and they have struck out 752 times as a unit. They have left 666 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 475 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 51-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.30, Ariel Miranda has a 7-4 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 115 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 94 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 326 batters and walked 135 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 884 base knocks and 454 earned runs this season. They have given up 154 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 768 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.81.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league. The Mariners hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .334. He has 99 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .475 with an OPS+ of 117. Nelson Cruz is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 96 hits in 349 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .496. The Mariners as a unit have 910 base hits, including 176 doubles and 118 homers. Seattle has walked 318 times this year and they have struck out on 822 occasions. They have had 688 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 483 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners -142

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