Tuesday, July 4, 2017

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Joe Ross

The New York Mets visit Nationals Park on Tuesday, July 4, 2017 to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Seth Lugo for the Mets and Joe Ross for the Nationals.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +158 and Washington at -168. The Mets have a 47-24-10 over/under record and a 34-47-0 run line mark. The Nationals are 41-41-0 against the run line and have a 41-37-4 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 47-24-10 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 34-47-0 against the run line

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 41-37-4 against the over/under

The Washington Nationals are 41-41-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

07/01/17 LF Michael Conforto Hand 10-day DL (07/01)
06/28/17 P Robert Gsellman Hamstring 10-day DL (06/28)
06/23/17 P Tommy Milone Knee 60-day DL (05/22)
06/16/17 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 10-day DL (06/16)
06/15/17 P Matt Harvey Arm 10-day DL (06/15)
06/15/17 2B Neil Walker Hamstring 10-day DL (06/15)
06/14/17 P Josh Smoker Shoulder 10-day DL (06/14)
05/12/17 P Jeurys Familia Shoulder 60-day DL (05/11)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

06/29/17 SS Trea Turner Wrist 10-day DL (06/30)
06/19/17 P Shawn Kelley Trapezius 10-day DL (06/17)
06/11/17 P Koda Glover Back 10-day DL (06/11)
06/06/17 LF Jayson Werth Foot 10-day DL (06/04)
06/02/17 CF Adam Eaton ACL 60-day DL (04/29)
05/24/17 LF Chris Heisey Bicep 10-day DL (05/24)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 38-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Seth Lugo has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 17 strikeouts over his 25.1 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He allows 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 308 hitters and walked 129 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 772 base hits and 395 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 721. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .250, good for 21st in the league. The Mets hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 38 hits this season in 135 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 131. Jay Bruce is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 299 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The Mets have 696 hits, including 155 doubles and 122 home runs. New York has walked 284 times so far this season and they have struck out 619 times as a unit. They have left 553 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 393 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 48-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.12, Joe Ross has a 4-3 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 63.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 77 hits. He allows 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.12 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 210 batters and walked 79 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 685 base knocks and 336 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 243 hitters and struck out 745 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .277, good for 2nd in the league. The Nationals hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .318 with an OBP of .424. He has 90 hits this year along with 62 RBI in 283 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .601 with an OPS+ of 163. Ryan Zimmerman is hitting .335 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 93 hits in 278 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 153 and a slugging percentage of .619. The Nationals as a unit have 797 base hits, including 169 doubles and 123 homers. Washington has walked 293 times this year and they have struck out on 636 occasions. They have had 584 men left on base and have an OPS of .817. They have scored 5.55 runs per game and totaled 455 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets +158

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