New York Yankees at Houston Astros 10/14/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, October 14, 2017

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Justin Verlander

The New York Yankees visit Minute Maid Park on Saturday, October 14, 2017 to play the Houston Astros in Game 2 of the ALCS. Houston leads the series 1-0 after winning 2-1 in Game 1. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and Justin Verlander for the Astros.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at +119 and Houston at -141. The Yankees have a 86-78-4 over/under record and a 93-75-0 run line mark. The Astros are 87-79-0 against the run line and have a 84-73-9 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 86-78-4 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 93-75-0 against the run line

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 84-73-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 87-79-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

09/17/17 P Caleb Smith Virus 10-day DL (09/14)
08/15/17 P Luis Cessa Ribs 60-day DL (08/15)
07/16/17 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (07/11)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

10/01/17 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 60-day DL (08/31)
10/01/17 P David Paulino Elbow 60-day DL (10/01)
09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb out indefinitely
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (04/19)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 91-71 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 14-6 record with an earned run average of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 230 strikeouts over his 193.1 innings pitched and he's given up 150 hits. He allows 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 653 hitters and walked 225 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,248 base hits and 599 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 504 batters and struck out 1,560. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Aaron Judge is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .422. He has 154 hits this season in 542 at bats with 114 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .627 and an OPS+ of 171. Didi Gregorius is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 153 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 534 at bats. His OPS+ is 106 while his slugging percentage is at .478. The Yankees have 1,463 hits, including 266 doubles and 241 home runs. New York has walked 616 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,386 times as a unit. They have left 1,184 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 858 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 101-61 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.36, Justin Verlander has a 15-8 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 219 strikeouts over the 206 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 170 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 485 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 662 batters and walked 213 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,314 base knocks and 662 earned runs this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 522 hitters and struck out 1,593 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .346 with an OBP of .410. He has 204 hits this year along with 81 RBI in 590 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .547 with an OPS+ of 165. Carlos Correa is hitting .315 this season and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 133 hits in 422 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 160 and a slugging percentage of .550. The Astros as a unit have 1,581 base hits, including 346 doubles and 238 homers. Houston has walked 509 times this year and they have struck out on 1,087 occasions. They have had 1,094 men left on base and have an OPS of .823. They have scored 5.53 runs per game and totaled 896 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees +119

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