New York Yankees at New York Mets 8/17/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, August 17, 2017

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Steven Matz

Citi Field is the site of the matchup between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets on Thursday, August 17, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Luis Severino for the Yankees and Steven Matz for the Mets.

The Mets open at -178 while the Yankees open at +168. The Yankees have a 60-55-3 over/under record and a 62-56-0 run line mark. The Mets are 50-67-0 against the run line and have a 66-40-11 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 60-55-3 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 62-56-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 66-40-11 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 50-67-0 against the run line

Key New York Yankees Injuries

08/15/17 P Luis Cessa Back 10-day DL (08/15)
08/12/17 P Masahiro Tanaka Shoulder 10-day DL (08/10)
08/11/17 P CC Sabathia Knee 10-day DL (08/09)
08/10/17 CF Clint Frazier Oblique 10-day DL (08/09)
08/06/17 DH Matt Holliday Back 10-day DL (08/05)
07/22/17 2B Starlin Castro Hamstring 10-day DL (07/22)
07/16/17 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (07/11)
06/29/17 1B Tyler Austin Hamstring 10-day DL (06/29)
05/03/17 1B Greg Bird Ankle 10-day DL (05/02)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/16/17 P Robert Gsellman Hamstring 10-day DL (06/28); expected to start Wednesday vs. New York Yankees
08/15/17 P Seth Lugo Shoulder 10-day DL (08/12)
07/28/17 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 10-day DL (07/28)
07/24/17 P Zack Wheeler Arm 10-day DL (07/23)
06/23/17 P Tommy Milone Knee 60-day DL (05/22)
06/15/17 P Matt Harvey Arm 10-day DL (06/15)
05/12/17 P Jeurys Familia Shoulder 60-day DL (05/11)
05/01/17 P Noah Syndergaard Side 60-day DL (05/01)
03/31/17 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (03/30)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 63-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 166 strikeouts over his 143.2 innings pitched and he's given up 121 hits. He allows 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 466 hitters and walked 161 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 932 base hits and 446 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 363 batters and struck out 1,118. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .260, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Brett Gardner is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 108 hits this season in 434 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .431 and an OPS+ of 101. Aaron Judge is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 79 men in 404 at bats. His OPS+ is 165 while his slugging percentage is at .609. The Yankees have 1,063 hits, including 193 doubles and 171 home runs. New York has walked 445 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,060 times as a unit. They have left 862 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 607 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 53-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.54, Steven Matz has a 2-6 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 63.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 76 hits. He allows 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 437 batters and walked 181 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,114 base knocks and 567 earned runs this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 416 hitters and struck out 1,026 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Mets hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .389. He has 98 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 347 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .568 with an OPS+ of 148. Jay Bruce is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 112 hits in 425 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Mets as a unit have 995 base hits, including 205 doubles and 178 homers. New York has walked 369 times this year and they have struck out on 932 occasions. They have had 768 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.68 runs per game and totaled 548 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets +168

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