Padres at Dodgers 4/4/2017 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Guy Bruhn - 4/3/2017
Tuesday, April 4, 2017
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Clayton Richard vs. Kenta Maeda
The San Diego Padres visit Dodger Stadium on Tuesday, April 4, 2017 to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Clayton Richard for the Padres and Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers.
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The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +212 and Los Angeles at -230. The Padres had a 80-77-5 over/under record and a 94-68-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 58% of the time. The Dodgers were 81-81-0 against the run line and had a 69-83-10 over/under record. They covered the spread 50% of the time.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres were 80-77-5 against the over/under last season
The San Diego Padres were 94-68-0 against the run line last season
Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 69-83-10 against the over/under last season
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 81-81-0 against the run line last season
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
04/01/17 P Carter Capps Elbow 10-day DL
04/01/17 P Christian Friedric Shoulder out indefinitely
03/31/17 LF Alex Dickerson Back out indefinitely
03/31/17 P Buddy Baumann Shoulder out indefinitely
03/31/17 P Colin Rea Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
03/31/17 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (3/30)
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
04/03/17 P Pedro Baez Wrist 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Josh Ravin Groin 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Scott Kazmir Hip 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Yimi Garcia Elbow 60-day DL
03/31/17 RF Andre Ethier Hip 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P Brock Stewart Shoulder 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 SS Corey Seager Oblique probable Monday vs. San Diego Padres
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres are coming off a 68-94 record in 2016, including 29-52 on the road. Starting pitcher Clayton Richard had a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.66. He had 41 strikeouts over his 67.2 innings pitched and he gave up 81 hits last season. He allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 4.18 and they gave up 514 base hits on the year. Teams hit .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 516 times and walking 223 times last season. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine innings. They were 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Padres pitchers collectively gave up 1,425 base hits and 708 earned runs. They allowed 183 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff walked 569 batters and struck out 1,222. They walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit was 4.40.
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As a team San Diego batted .235, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .229 average away from home. The Padres held a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 30th in baseball with 7.87 hits per game. Wil Myers is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .259 with an on-base percentage of .336. He had 155 hits last season along with 99 runs scored and 94 runs batted in. He struck out 160 times and walked 68 times. Yangervis Solarte hit .286 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .341. He totaled 116 hits while scoring 55 runs and he drove in 71. He walked 30 times and struck out on 63 occasions. The Padres had 1,275 hits, including 257 doubles and 177 home runs. They stole 125 bases and were thrown out stealing 45 times. San Diego walked 449 times last season and they struck out 1,500 times as a unit. They left 965 men on base and had a team OPS of .689. They scored 4.23 runs per contest and scored a total of 686 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles had a 53-28 home record and a 91-71 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.48, Kenta Maeda had a 16-11 record and a 1.14 WHIP last season. He had 179 strikeouts over the 175.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 150 hits. He allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.58. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.35 and they gave up 481 base hits on the year. Teams hit .218 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 633 times and walking 204 times last season. As a team, Los Angeles allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine innings. They were 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Dodgers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,266 base knocks and 598 earned runs last season. They gave up 165 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff walked 464 hitters and struck out 1,510. They gave up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.19 while their FIP as a staff was 3.61.
As a team, they batted .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Dodgers held a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 14th in baseball. They ranked 16th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Corey Seager comes into this matchup after batting .308 with an OBP of .365. He had 193 hits last year along with 105 runs scored and 72 RBI. He struck out 133 times and walked on 54 occasions. Adrian Gonzalez hit .285 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .349. He collected 162 hits while scoring 69 runs and driving in 90. He earned a walk 55 times and punched out 117 times. The Dodgers as a unit had 1,375 base hits, including 272 doubles and 189 homers. They had 45 stolen bases and were thrown out 26 times. Los Angeles as a team walked 525 times last year and they struck out 1,321 times. They had 1,106 men left on base and had an OPS of .728. They scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 725 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +212
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