Friday, March 31, 2017
Roger Dean Stadium
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Adam Conley
The Detroit Tigers head Roger Dean Stadium on Friday, March 31, 2017 to take on the Miami Marlins in a Spring Training game. The starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Adam Conley for the Marlins.
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The opening line for this game has Detroit at +105 and Miami at -125. The Tigers had a 80-73-8 over/under record and a 86-75-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 53% of the time. The Marlins were 76-85-0 against the run line and had a 80-75-6 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers were 80-73-8 against the over/under last season
The Detroit Tigers were 86-75-0 against the run line last season
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins were 80-75-6 against the over/under last season
The Miami Marlins were 76-85-0 against the run line last season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
3/29/2017 Montreal Robertson SP Shoulder Questionable for start of season
3/28/2017 Daniel Norris SP Arm Questionable for start of season
3/24/2017 J.D. Martinez RF Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
3/16/2017 Kevin Ziomek SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Apr 1
1/26/2017 Derek Hill CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
3/29/2017 Odrisamer Despaigne RP Oblique Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Jeff Locke RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Apr 21
3/19/2017 Martin Prado 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least May 1
4/7/2016 Tyler Kolek SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least May 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers are coming off a 86-75 record in 2016, including 41-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann had a 9-7 record with an earned run average of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.37. He had 66 strikeouts over his 105.1 innings pitched and he gave up 118 hits last season. He allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 4.22 and they gave up 503 base hits on the year. Teams hit .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 181 times last season. As a team, Detroit allowed 8.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,417 base hits and 672 earned runs. They allowed 182 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 462 batters and struck out 1,232. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit was 4.16.
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As a team Detroit batted .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Tigers held a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which was good for 5th in baseball. They ranked 3rd in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .316 with an on-base percentage of .393. He had 188 hits last season along with 92 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He struck out 116 times and walked 75 times. Ian Kinsler hit .288 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .348. He totaled 178 hits while scoring 117 runs and he drove in 83. He walked 45 times and struck out on 115 occasions. The Tigers had 1,476 hits, including 252 doubles and 211 home runs. They stole 58 bases and were thrown out stealing 29 times. Detroit walked 493 times last season and they struck out 1,303 times as a unit. They left 1,105 men on base and had a team OPS of .769. They scored 4.66 runs per contest and scored a total of 750 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami had a 40-40 home record and a 79-82 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.85, Adam Conley had a 8-6 record and a 1.40 WHIP last season. He had 124 strikeouts over the 133.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 125 hits. He allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.2. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.63 and they gave up 492 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 570 times and walking 262 times last season. As a team, Miami allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine innings. They were 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers as a team surrendered 1,358 base knocks and 646 earned runs last season. They gave up 152 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff walked 595 hitters and struck out 1,379. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 3.97.
As a team, they batted .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Marlins held a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 13th in baseball. They ranked 5th in baseball with 9.07 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup after batting .298 with an OBP of .376. He had 172 hits last year along with 78 runs scored and 98 RBI. He struck out 138 times and walked on 72 occasions. Martin Prado hit .305 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .359. He collected 183 hits while scoring 70 runs and driving in 75. He earned a walk 49 times and punched out 69 times. The Marlins as a unit had 1,460 base hits, including 259 doubles and 128 homers. They had 71 stolen bases and were thrown out 28 times. Miami as a team walked 447 times last year and they struck out 1,213 times. They had 1,171 men left on base and had an OPS of .716. They scored 4.07 runs per game and totaled 655 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins -125
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