Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox 9/27/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Rick Porcello

Fenway Park is the site of the matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, September 27, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

Toronto opens at +167 while Boston opens at -177. The Blue Jays have a 70-80-7 over/under record and a 73-84-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 82-74-0 against the run line and have a 67-83-6 over/under record.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 70-80-7 against the over/under

The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-84-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 67-83-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 82-74-0 against the run line

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

08/09/17 P Cesar Valdez Shoulder 60-day DL (08/08)
08/09/17 SS Troy Tulowitzki Ankle 60-day DL (07/29)
07/22/17 P Aaron Sanchez Blister 10-day DL (07/22)
07/01/17 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day DL (06/06)
06/16/17 3B Chris Coghlan Wrist 10-day DL (06/16)
05/24/17 LF Anthony Alford Wrist 10-day DL (05/24)
05/20/17 CF Darrell Ceciliani Shoulder 10-day DL (05/19)
04/09/17 P Bo Schultz Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
04/03/17 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/26/17 RF Mookie Betts Wrist "?" Tuesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 74-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 174 strikeouts over his 183.2 innings pitched and he's given up 177 hits. He allows 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 526 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 611 hitters and walked 207 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,419 base hits and 700 earned runs. They have allowed 197 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 541 batters and struck out 1,328. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .241, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 149 hits this season in 545 at bats with 89 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .538 and an OPS+ of 130. Kevin Pillar is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .300. He has totaled 147 hits and he has driven in 42 men in 578 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .405. The Blue Jays have 1,285 hits, including 263 doubles and 214 home runs. Toronto has walked 531 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,266 times as a unit. They have left 1,042 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 91-65 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.55, Rick Porcello has a 10-17 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 173 strikeouts over the 197.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 229 hits. He allows 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.00 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 547 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,322 base knocks and 573 earned runs this season. They have given up 182 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 443 hitters and struck out 1,518 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .343. He has 164 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 619 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 108. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 147 hits in 550 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .393. The Red Sox as a team have 1,411 base knocks, including 289 doubles and 162 home runs. Boston has walked 559 times this season and they have struck out 1,167 times. They have had 1,101 runners left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.86 runs per contest and totaled 758 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -177

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