Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox 9/4/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, September 4, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Rick Porcello

The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Monday, September 4, 2017 to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +139 and Boston at -149. The Blue Jays have a 62-67-6 over/under record and a 60-75-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 71-64-0 against the run line and have a 58-71-6 over/under record.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-67-6 against the over/under

The Toronto Blue Jays are 60-75-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 58-71-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 71-64-0 against the run line

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

09/01/17 1B Justin Smoak Calf "?" Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles
08/12/17 C Russell Martin Oblique 10-day DL (08/12)
08/09/17 P Cesar Valdez Shoulder 10-day DL (08/08)
08/09/17 SS Troy Tulowitzki Ankle 60-day DL (07/29)
07/22/17 P Aaron Sanchez Blister 10-day DL (07/22)
07/05/17 C Luke Maile Knee 10-day DL (07/04)
07/01/17 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day DL (06/06)
06/16/17 3B Chris Coghlan Wrist 10-day DL (06/16)
05/24/17 LF Anthony Alford Wrist 10-day DL (05/24)
05/20/17 CF Darrell Ceciliani Shoulder 10-day DL (05/19)
04/09/17 P Bo Schultz Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
04/03/17 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day DL (03/30)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/02/17 CF Jackie Bradley Jr. Thumb 10-day DL (08/23) - expected to be activated Saturday vs. New York Yankees
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/28/17 P David Price Elbow 10-day DL (07/25)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 62-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 110 strikeouts over his 113.2 innings pitched and he's given up 116 hits. He allows 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 529 hitters and walked 184 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,241 base hits and 619 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 477 batters and struck out 1,167. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .240, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Justin Smoak is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 135 hits this season in 472 at bats with 84 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .566 and an OPS+ of 139. Kevin Pillar is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .303. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 37 men in 501 at bats. His OPS+ is 86 while his slugging percentage is at .411. The Blue Jays have 1,105 hits, including 219 doubles and 186 home runs. Toronto has walked 460 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,079 times as a unit. They have left 903 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 578 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 77-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.45, Rick Porcello has a 9-15 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 160 strikeouts over the 176 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 205 hits. He allows 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.22 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 431 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,159 base knocks and 506 earned runs this season. They have given up 159 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 376 hitters and struck out 1,287 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.74.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 9th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .262 with an OBP of .342. He has 141 hits this year along with 78 RBI in 539 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .434 with an OPS+ of 102. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 129 hits in 476 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .401. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,227 base hits, including 245 doubles and 145 homers. Boston has walked 485 times this year and they have struck out on 1,007 occasions. They have had 963 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 647 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -149

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