Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins 9/16/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions
Saturday, September 16, 2017
Target Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Adalberto Mejia
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Target Field on Saturday, September 16, 2017 to take on the Minnesota Twins. The expected starting pitchers are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Adalberto Mejia for the Twins.
The odds for this matchup have Toronto at +136 and Minnesota at -146. The Blue Jays have a 65-75-7 over/under mark and a 68-79-0 run line record. The Twins are 77-69-0 against the run line and have a 66-71-9 over/under record.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 65-75-7 against the over/under
The Toronto Blue Jays are 68-79-0 against the run line
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 66-71-9 against the over/under
The Minnesota Twins are 77-69-0 against the run line
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
08/09/17 P Cesar Valdez Shoulder 60-day DL (08/08)
08/09/17 SS Troy Tulowitzki Ankle 60-day DL (07/29)
07/22/17 P Aaron Sanchez Blister 10-day DL (07/22)
07/01/17 2B Devon Travis Knee 60-day DL (06/06)
06/16/17 3B Chris Coghlan Wrist 10-day DL (06/16)
05/24/17 LF Anthony Alford Wrist 10-day DL (05/24)
05/20/17 CF Darrell Ceciliani Shoulder 10-day DL (05/19)
04/09/17 P Bo Schultz Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
04/03/17 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 60-day DL (03/30)
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
08/20/17 3B Miguel Sano Shin 10-day DL (08/21)
08/17/17 P Dietrich Enns Shoulder 10-day DL (08/17)
07/19/17 P Phil Hughes Illness 60-day DL (07/19)
07/06/17 P Hector Santiago Back 60-day DL (07/03)
05/28/17 P Justin Haley Shoulder 10-day DL (05/28)
05/28/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Forearm 60-day DL (03/30)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/22)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 68-79 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 8-8 record with an earned run average of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 166 strikeouts over his 168.2 innings pitched and he's given up 171 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 491 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 577 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,334 base hits and 652 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 510 batters and struck out 1,261. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.
Hitting Statistics
As a team Toronto is hitting .242, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Kevin Pillar is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .303. He has 142 hits this season in 546 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .410 and an OPS+ of 84. Justin Smoak is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 143 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 512 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .553. The Blue Jays have 1,211 hits, including 244 doubles and 199 home runs. Toronto has walked 497 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,188 times as a unit. They have left 989 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 622 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 77-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.47, Adalberto Mejia has a 4-5 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 86.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 96 hits. He allows 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 509 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 425 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,349 base knocks and 665 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 441 hitters and struck out 1,047 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.74.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league. The Twins hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .331. He has 142 hits this year along with 69 RBI in 483 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .507 with an OPS+ of 119. Brian Dozier is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 145 hits in 564 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .477. The Twins as a unit have 1,295 base hits, including 257 doubles and 186 homers. Minnesota has walked 547 times this year and they have struck out on 1,197 occasions. They have had 1,044 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They have scored 4.98 runs per game and totaled 727 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +136
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks