Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies 9/27/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Mark Leiter

The Washington Nationals head to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, September 27, 2017 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Tanner Roark for the Nationals and Mark Leiter for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Washington at -162 and Philadelphia at +152. The Nationals have a 67-79-10 over/under mark and a 76-80-0 run line record. The Phillies are 86-71-0 against the run line and have a 68-75-14 over/under record.

Valuable Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 67-79-10 against the over/under

The Washington Nationals are 76-80-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-75-14 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 86-71-0 against the run line

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

09/25/17 RF Bryce Harper Illness "?" Tuesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
09/07/17 P Erick Fedde Forearm 60-day DL (09/04)
08/28/17 2B Stephen Drew Abdominal 60-day DL (07/29)
08/16/17 LF Brian Goodwin Groin 10-day DL (08/16)
07/26/17 LF Ryan Raburn Trapezius 60-day DL (07/22)
07/23/17 LF Chris Heisey Groin 10-day DL (07/23)
07/17/17 P Joe Ross Tricep 60-day DL (07/14)
07/17/17 P Koda Glover Back 60-day DL (06/11)
06/02/17 CF Adam Eaton ACL 60-day DL (04/29)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/14/17 P Hector Neris Upper Body 60-day DL (09/14)
09/13/17 P Zach Eflin Shoulder 60-day DL (08/22)
09/06/17 2B Pedro Florimon Ankle 60-day DL (09/06)
09/01/17 P Jerad Eickhoff Hand 60-day DL (09/01)
08/11/17 P Vince Velasquez Finger 60-day DL (08/11)
06/23/17 P Casey Fien Shoulder 60-day DL (06/23)
04/23/17 P Clay Buchholz Forearm 60-day DL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 95-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 13-10 record with an earned run average of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 161 strikeouts over his 175.2 innings pitched and he's given up 168 hits. He allows 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 422 hitters and walked 152 batters. As a team, Washington allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 1,257 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 188 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,402. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .265, good for 4th in the league. The Nationals hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Daniel Murphy is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 163 hits this season in 517 at bats with 90 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .542 and an OPS+ of 134. Anthony Rendon is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 147 hits and he has driven in 96 men in 491 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .532. The Nationals have 1,419 base hits, including 300 doubles and 208 homers. Washington has walked 516 times so far this year and they have struck out 1,267 times as a team. They have left 1,049 runners on base and have a team OPS of .780. They tally 5.08 runs per contest and have totaled 793 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 62-95 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.69, Mark Leiter has a 3-6 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 79 strikeouts over the 86.1 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 82 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 522 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 519 batters and walked 212 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,433 base knocks and 714 earned runs this season. They have given up 216 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 502 hitters and struck out 1,261 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .303. He has 151 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 597 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .380 with an OPS+ of 81. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 146 hits in 494 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .421. The Phillies as a unit have 1,339 base hits, including 278 doubles and 168 homers. Philadelphia has walked 467 times this year and they have struck out on 1,371 occasions. They have had 1,042 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4.19 runs per game and totaled 658 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies +152

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn