Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres 9/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 28, 2018

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs. Eric Lauer

Petco Park is the site of the matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres on Friday, September 28, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Patrick Corbin for the Diamondbacks and Eric Lauer for the Padres.

Arizona opens at -150 while San Diego opens at +130. The Diamondbacks have a 73-80-6 over/under record and a 82-77-0 run line mark. The Padres are 78-81-0 against the run line and have a 78-76-5 over/under record.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 73-80-6 against the over/under

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 82-77-0 against the run line

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 78-76-5 against the over/under

The San Diego Padres are 78-81-0 against the run line

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

09/15/18 P Clay Buchholz Elbow is out for season
09/04/18 3B Jake Lamb Shoulder 60-day DL (09/04)
07/12/18 P Shelby Miller Elbow 60-day DL (07/12)
07/08/18 RF Jarrod Dyson Groin 60-day DL (07/05)
06/01/18 P Taijuan Walker Forearm is out for season
05/09/18 P Braden Shipley Elbow 10-day DL (05/07)

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

09/13/18 SS Luis Urias Hamstring is out indefinitely
08/29/18 P Clayton Richard Knee 60-day DL (08/25)
08/22/18 3B Christian Villanueva Finger 10-day DL (08/22)
06/08/18 P Jose Torres Suspension is out for season
05/29/18 CF Franchy Cordero Forearm 10-day DL (05/28)
05/14/18 P Kazuhisa Makita Side 10-day DL (05/13)
04/15/18 P Dinelson Lamet Forearm 60-day DL (03/26)
04/04/18 2B Allen Cordoba Concussion 60-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Colin Rea Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
03/26/18 RF Alex Dickerson Elbow 60-day DL (03/28)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 81-78 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Patrick Corbin has a 11-7 record with an earned run average of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.06 this year. He has 242 strikeouts over his 195 innings pitched and he's given up 159 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 473 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 481 hitters and walked 208 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,287 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 506 batters and struck out 1,415. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .236, good for 27th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .390. He has 170 hits this season in 584 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .538 and an OPS+ of 140. David Peralta is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 550 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .524. The Diamondbacks have 1,260 hits, including 255 doubles and 173 home runs. Arizona has walked 546 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,426 times as a unit. They have left 1,063 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 683 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 64-95 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.60, Eric Lauer has a 6-7 record and a 1.56 WHIP this season. He has 94 strikeouts over the 105.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 120 hits. He allows 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 541 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 705 batters and walked 199 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,407 base knocks and 704 earned runs this season. They have given up 182 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 505 hitters and struck out 1,365 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Padres hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .247 with an OBP of .300. He has 145 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 586 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .382 with an OPS+ of 88. Eric Hosmer is hitting .249 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 150 hits in 602 at bats while driving in 67 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .392. The Padres as a unit have 1,263 base hits, including 247 doubles and 158 homers. San Diego has walked 455 times this year and they have struck out on 1,490 occasions. They have had 1,001 men left on base and have an OPS of .677. They have scored 3.81 runs per game and totaled 606 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks -150

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